Note4Students
From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :
Prelims level: OPEC+
Mains level: Global crude oil pricing dynamics
Central Idea
- Saudi Arabia has decided to decrease its oil supply to the global economy.
- This unilateral action aims to stabilize the declining crude oil prices.
- Previous efforts by major oil-producing countries within the OPEC+ alliance to cut supply did not yield desired price increases.
What is OPEC+?
- The non-OPEC countries which export crude oil along with the 14 OPECs are termed as OPEC plus countries.
- OPEC plus countries include Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Russia, South Sudan, and Sudan.
- Saudi and Russia, both have been at the heart of a three-year alliance of oil producers known as OPEC Plus — which now includes 11 OPEC members and 10 non-OPEC nations — that aims to shore up oil prices with production cuts.
Reasons for OPEC+ Production Cuts
- Russian war: Oil prices rose significantly following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
- Previous major cut: The recent production cut is the largest since 2020 when OPEC+ members reduced outputs by 10 million barrels per day (bpd) during the Covid-19 pandemic.
- Benefit to Middle Eastern states: The cuts are expected to boost prices, benefiting Middle Eastern OPEC+ members who have become significant oil suppliers to Europe after sanctions were imposed on Russia.
Concerns for India
- Fuel price hike: Despite importing cheap Russian oil, India has not seen a decrease in fuel prices.
- Fiscal challenges: Rising oil prices pose fiscal challenges for India, where heavily-taxed retail fuel prices have reached record highs, threatening the demand-driven economic recovery.
- Reliance on West Asian supplies: India imports about 84% of its oil and depends on West Asian countries for over three-fifths of its oil demand.
- Potential impact on consumption-led recovery: India, as one of the largest crude-consuming countries, is concerned that production cuts by OPEC+ nations could undermine the country’s consumption-led economic recovery and negatively affect price-sensitive consumers.
Back2Basics: Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)
Description | |
Founding | September 14, 1960 |
Member Countries | Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Venezuela |
Goal | Coordinate and unify petroleum policies among member countries, ensure stability and predictability in oil markets, secure fair returns on investment for member countries’ petroleum resources |
Production Quotas | Set production limits for member countries to manage oil supply and stabilize prices |
Market Monitoring | Monitor global oil market conditions, supply, demand, inventories, and prices |
OPEC Meetings | Regular meetings held every six months for member countries to discuss and negotiate oil production and pricing policies |
Pricing Policy | Historically used the “OPEC basket” concept – a weighted average price of crude oil blends produced by member countries |
Influence on Prices | OPEC’s decisions and actions can impact global oil prices by increasing or decreasing production levels |
Diminished Influence | OPEC’s influence on oil prices has reduced due to factors like the rise of non-OPEC oil production, changes in global energy markets, and geopolitical developments |
Non-OPEC Cooperation | OPEC cooperates with non-OPEC countries, notably through the “OPEC+” group, which includes Russia, to collectively manage oil supply levels and enhance market stability |
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