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The Crisis In The Middle East

What is the BDS movement, led by Palestinian groups against Israel?

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: BDS Movement

Mains level: Anti-Semitism, Racism, Apartheid

bds

Central Idea

  • An article in a German newspaper accused Indian poet Ranjit Hoskote of “anti-Semitism” and supporting the BDS (Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions) movement.

What is BDS Movement?

  • BDS (Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions) movement was launched in 2005 by over 170 Palestinian groups.
  • It aims to garner international support for Palestinian people’s rights.
  • BDS describes itself as an “inclusive, anti-racist human rights movement” opposing all forms of discrimination, including anti-Semitism and Islamophobia.
  • It draws inspiration from the South African anti-apartheid movement.

BDS Goals

  • BDS calls for nonviolent pressure on Israel until it complies with international law, with three key demands:
    1. Ending Israel’s occupation and colonization of Arab lands and dismantling the Wall.
    2. Recognizing the rights of Arab-Palestinian citizens of Israel to full equality.
    3. Respecting, protecting, and promoting the rights of Palestinian refugees to return to their homes, as per UN Resolution 194.

Strategies of BDS

  • BDS involves boycotts of Israeli government, associated institutions, and companies involved in human rights violations.
  • Divestment campaigns urge institutions to withdraw investments from Israel.
  • Sanctions campaigns seek to pressure governments to fulfill legal obligations to end Israeli apartheid.
  • BDS focuses on a smaller number of carefully selected companies and products for maximum impact.

Israeli Government’s Response

  • Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has linked BDS to anti-Semitism.
  • BDS argues that criticism of Israel’s violations of international law should not be equated with anti-Semitism.
  • Israeli Minister Gilad Erdan led efforts against the economic boycott of Israel but downplayed the threat.

Economic Impact of BDS

  • BDS has led to some brands and celebrities refusing to work in Israel.
  • Impact on an entire state’s economy is challenging to measure due to various factors.
  • BDS aims to become a powerful tool in ending western support for Israeli apartheid and settler colonialism.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India – EU

India-UK Free Trade Agreement: A Strategic Shift in Trade Relations

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Free Trade Agreement

Mains level: NA

fta

Central Idea

  • External Affairs Minister recent discussions with British PM have put the India-UK Free Trade Agreement (FTA) at the forefront of bilateral negotiations.

Why does this FTA matter?

  • The FTA, when finalized, is expected to not only enhance economic ties between India and the UK but also serve as a blueprint for similar agreements with India’s second-largest trading partner, the European Union (EU).

What is Free Trade Agreement (FTA)?

  • A Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is a legally binding trade pact between two or more countries or regions that aims to reduce or eliminate barriers to trade and promote economic cooperation.
  • FTAs are designed to facilitate the exchange of goods and services across borders by reducing or eliminating tariffs (import taxes), quotas, and various non-tariff barriers, such as regulations and licensing requirements.
  • These agreements are negotiated to create a more open and competitive trade environment, fostering economic growth and prosperity among the participating nations.

India’s considerations and UK

  • Economic Integration: India is reorienting its trade strategy, moving away from previous trade deals that widened deficits with East Asian countries. Instead, it’s focusing on strengthening economic integration with Western and African nations.
  • Reducing Dependence on China: The disruption of global supply chains during the pandemic exposed the risks of overreliance on China. Western countries, including Australia and the UK, are now seeking a ‘China-plus one’ approach in trade.
  • RCEP Exit: India’s exit from the China-dominated Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) further underscores its desire to bolster trade ties with the UK, EU, Australia, and others as a counterbalance to China’s influence.

Brexit Influence and UK’s Perspective

  • Crucial for UK: A trade deal with India holds significant importance for the UK, especially as it faces a challenging election in early 2025. Concerns that fueled the Brexit vote have made the UK cautious about offering work permits to Indian service sector workers under the FTA.
  • Market Compensation: Despite Brexit uncertainties, the vast Indian market provides London with an opportunity to offset the loss of access to the European Single Market.

Benefits for India and the UK

  • India’s Gains: Indian labour-intensive sectors like apparel and gems & jewellery have struggled with declining market share. A trade deal could potentially level the playing field with competitors like Bangladesh. However, it may have repercussions on Least Developed Countries.
  • UK’s Advantages: Past trade deals have shown that eliminating duties doesn’t guarantee export growth. Reduction of tariffs on British exports like cars, whisky, and wines could provide deeper access to Indian markets.
  • Tariff Disparity: The average tariff on Indian imports to the UK is 4.2%, while the average tariff in India on goods from the UK is 14.6%, highlighting the potential for tariff alignment.

Addressing Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs)

  • Modern FTA Scope: FTA negotiations could focus on eliminating non-tariff barriers (NTBs), which have historically hindered exports. NTBs often involve regulations, standards, testing, certification, or reshipment inspections, especially in agriculture and manufacturing.
  • Conformity Assessments: Indian agricultural exporters often face strict limits on contaminants, and Indian products face rejections due to conformity assessments and technical requirements.

Carbon Tax and Impact

  • The UK, akin to the EU, is considering a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) that imposes a carbon tax on certain imports based on emissions.
  • This move may affect India’s exports, even with reduced tariffs, particularly in sectors like cement, chemicals, steel, and power generation.

Conclusion

  • The India-UK Free Trade Agreement represents a strategic shift in India’s trade policy, emphasizing Western and African integration while mitigating dependence on China.
  • For the UK, it offers a chance to compensate for Brexit-related losses and strengthen ties with a significant economic partner.
  • Addressing tariff disparities, NTBs, and carbon taxes will be pivotal in shaping the FTA’s impact on both nations’ economies.

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Festivals, Dances, Theatre, Literature, Art in News

Legacy of B.N. Goswamy in Indian Miniature Paintings

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Miniature Paintings of India

Mains level: Not Much

Central Idea

  • N. Goswamy, a Padma Bhushan recipient and former IAS officer, left an indelible mark on the realm of Indian miniature paintings.
  • His groundbreaking work in the field uncovered the rich history and family lineages of artists who contributed significantly to this intricate art form.

Indian Miniature Painting: A Rich Tradition

  • Characteristics: Indian miniature painting is known for its intricate, highly detailed artwork on a small scale. It features vibrant colors, intricate patterns, and elaborate detailing.
  • Historical Roots: The tradition traces its origins to the Buddhist Pala dynasty, which ruled Bengal and Bihar from the 8th to the 11th century. Initially, these paintings illustrated religious texts on Buddhism and Jainism and were crafted on palm leaves.
  • Mughal Era: The art form flourished with the rise of the Mughal Empire in the early 1500s, becoming synonymous with sophistication and elegance. Mughal miniatures, often no larger than a few square inches, depicted bright and accurate paintings used for illustrating manuscripts and art books.
  • Post-Mughal Period: With the decline of the Mughal Empire during Aurangzeb’s reign, skilled miniaturists migrated to regions like Rajasthan, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu, Tehri-Garhwal, and the plains of Punjab, giving birth to the Pahari painting tradition. Deccan painting, influenced by European, Iranian, and Turkish styles, also emerged in the Deccan region between the 16th and 19th centuries.

B.N. Goswamy’s Contributions

  • Family-Centric Approach: In his 1968 article on Pahari painting, Goswamy revealed that the style of these paintings depended not on the region but on the family of painters. He emphasized the role of family networks in shaping artistic styles.
  • Reconstructing Family Networks: Goswamy embarked on a mission to reconstruct the family networks of renowned Indian miniature painters. Notable examples include Pandit Seu and his sons Nainsukh and Manaku, who dominated the Pahari painting scene. Goswamy used a blend of detective work and intuition, leveraging inscriptions on the back of miniatures and 18th-century pilgrim records from Haridwar.
  • Expanding Research Scope: Over time, Goswamy broadened his research to encompass various regions across northern to southern India. His work resembled that of Bernard Berenson, who unearthed historical bills of exchange to attribute anonymous canvases.

Back2Basics: Miniature Paintings in India

History Characteristics Prominent Schools/Regions Notable Patrons
Rajput Miniature Painting Centuries-old tradition in Rajput courts Vibrant colors, intricate details, gold leaf Mewar, Marwar, Bundi Rajput rulers, nobility
Mughal Miniature Painting Flourished during the Mughal Empire (16th-19th century) Realistic portrayal, fine lines, historical themes Mughal Empire Emperors like Akbar, Jahangir, Shah Jahan
Pahari Miniature Painting Emerged in the Himalayan region, centuries-old Lyrical, delicate, Radha-Krishna love stories Basohli, Chamba, Kangra Regional rulers and nobility
Deccani Miniature Painting Developed under the Deccan Sultanates (late 15th-17th century) Fusion of Persian and Indian styles, court scenes Deccan Sultanates Golconda, Bijapur, Ahmadnagar
Bengal Patachitra Traditional art form of West Bengal Scroll painting, mythological stories, folklore West Bengal Traditional artists
Kangra Miniature Painting Flourished in the Kangra region, 18th century Soft colors, lyrical compositions, love stories Kangra Rulers of Kangra, Nainsukh
Tanjore Painting Originated in the Maratha court of Thanjavur (17th century) Gold leaf, semi-precious stones, Hindu deities Tamil Nadu (Thanjavur) Maratha court of Tanjore
Mysore Painting Flourished in the Kingdom of Mysore, 17th-19th century Intricate details, bright colors, religious themes Mysore Kingdom of Mysore
Gond Painting Traditional art of the Gond tribal community Vibrant depictions of nature, tribal folklore Central India (Madhya Pradesh) Gond tribal community
Kalamkari Painting Centuries-old art form from Andhra Pradesh Hand-painted or block-printed fabric art Andhra Pradesh (Tamil Nadu) Traditional Kalamkari artists

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Climate Change Negotiations – UNFCCC, COP, Other Conventions and Protocols

COP28 in Dubai: What to expect from Climate meeting

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: COP28

Mains level: Read the attached story

COP28

Central Idea

  • The upcoming COP28, scheduled to be held in Dubai from November 30 to December 12, faces the daunting challenge of addressing the urgent climate crisis.
  • Despite decades of negotiations, current global commitments to combat climate change are deemed insufficient.
  • With temperatures rising at an alarming rate, the need for substantial action has never been more critical.

What is COP?

  • The word ‘COP’ is an acronym for ‘Conference of the Parties. The ‘parties’ are the governments around the world that have signed the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), a treaty agreed upon in 1994.
  • Every year, the COP is hosted by a different nation and the first such COP meeting – ‘COP1’ – took place in Germany in 1995.
  • The conferences are attended by world leaders, negotiators, and ministers, and also by representatives from civil society, business, international organisations, and the media.
  • The last COP-27 edition convened in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt with the theme “Together for Implementation” and to renew and extend the agreements reached in the historic Paris Agreement.

Climate Action So Far: Crisis and Inadequate Responses

  • Rising Temperatures: 2023 is poised to become the warmest year ever recorded, with monthly warming records continually broken.
  • Response Lag: Global efforts to combat climate change have not kept pace with the rapid temperature increase.
  • Assessment: Recent reports indicate that current climate action plans, even in an optimistic scenario, would only achieve a 2% reduction in emissions by 2030, far from the 43% reduction recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
  • Financial Gap: Despite increasing climate risks, financial resources allocated for adaptation measures in developing countries are insufficient, with a vast disparity between the required and actual funding.

Expectations from COP28

COP28 aims to address these pressing climate challenges and achieve significant outcomes:

(1) Tripling of Renewable Energy:

  • Objective: Triple the global installed capacity of renewable energy by 2030, resulting in 70% of electricity generation from renewables.
  • Potential: This initiative could reduce 7 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent emissions by 2030, making it a substantial step toward emission reduction.
  • Support: The proposal has garnered endorsement from G20 countries and explicit support from 60 others.

(2) Delivery of $100 Billion:

  • Background: Developed countries pledged to mobilize $100 billion annually in climate finance from 2020, a commitment that remains unfulfilled.
  • Progress: Developed nations are expected to claim fulfillment of this promise at COP28, though it remains inadequate compared to the trillions required for climate action.
  • Challenge: The greater challenge lies in negotiating additional funding beyond the $100 billion annually, commencing from next year.

(3) Funding for Loss and Damage:

  • Fund Creation: The establishment of a loss and damage fund, designed to assist countries affected by climate change impacts, was a notable outcome of the previous climate meeting in Egypt.
  • Funding Flow: COP28 is expected to witness financial contributions to the loss and damage fund, signaling progress in addressing concerns, especially for small island nations.

(4) Global Stocktake:

  • Mandate: As per the Paris Agreement (2015), COP28 will present findings from the first global stocktake exercise. This assessment evaluates countries’ progress in combating climate change and outlines necessary actions for the next five years.
  • Informing Action: The stocktake findings will inform discussions and actions during the conference, providing a roadmap for more effective climate action.

(5) Phase-down of Fossil Fuels:

  • Challenge: Controversial debates on the scheduled phase-down or phase-out of fossil fuels, particularly coal, persist among nations.
  • Contentious Issue: Resolving the disagreement over fossil fuel reduction is expected to be a complex and unresolved matter at COP28.

Conclusion

  • COP28, set to be held in Dubai, represents a critical opportunity to address the climate crisis.
  • With expectations of tripling renewable energy, fulfillment of $100 billion climate finance commitments, funding for loss and damage, and global stocktake findings, the conference aims to push climate action forward.
  • However, the contentious issue of fossil fuel phase-down remains a challenge for the conference.
  • The world eagerly anticipates the outcomes and progress toward mitigating climate change.

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Tribes in News

Why the tribal factor may hurt the BJP in Madhya Pradesh

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Sixth Schedule and PESA

Mains level: tribal politics

Election 2023: मध्य प्रदेश में 15 आदिवासी सीटों पर अधिक मतदान भाजपा ने माना  संजीवनी - Election 2023 More voting in 15 tribal seats in Madhya Pradesh  BJP considered it a lifeline

Central idea

The article explores the significant role of tribal votes in the 2023 Madhya Pradesh assembly election, focusing on the competition between Congress and BJP for tribal support. It traces the historical evolution of tribal politics in the region, highlighting key factors influencing tribal voting patterns. The central theme revolves around the ongoing battle for tribal empowerment, with promises and challenges shaping the political landscape in Madhya Pradesh.

Key Highlights:

  • Tribal Electoral Battleground: The 2023 Madhya Pradesh assembly election is marked by a fierce struggle between Congress and BJP for the pivotal tribal vote, constituting 21% of the state’s population.
  • Political Activism: Over decades, tribal communities have become politically active, influencing electoral outcomes and reshaping the state’s political dynamics.
  • Historical Contestation: The political contest for tribal support intensified in the 1990s, with Congress historically dominant but facing challenges as the BJP strategically entered tribal areas.
  • Fluid Voting Patterns: Tribal voting, historically with Congress, has witnessed shifts, creating a dynamic landscape for both major parties.

Challenges:

  • Shifting Political Alliances: Historical Congress dominance faces challenges, with BJP making strategic inroads, making the tribal vote a pivotal factor.
  • Unresolved Policy Demands: Tribals express concerns about autonomy, job creation, forest conservation, and access to government welfare schemes, posing challenges for effective electoral strategies.
  • Dynamic Tribal Voting: The fluid nature of tribal voting patterns adds complexity to electoral strategies, requiring adaptable and responsive political approaches.
  • Competing Electoral Narratives: The battle for tribal votes involves competing promises and narratives, with Congress emphasizing empowerment through policies like the Sixth Schedule and PESA, while BJP highlights welfare initiatives and cultural ties.

Key Phrases:

  • Empowerment Pledges: Congress commits to implementing the Sixth Schedule, enacting PESA, and raising tendu patta rates. BJP emphasizes welfare initiatives and cultural connections.
  • Political Mobilization: Grassroots efforts by Vanvasi Kalyan Parishad and RSS play a pivotal role in BJP’s success in tribal areas.
  • Party Dynamics: The rise and decline of smaller parties like GGP and the emergence of JAYS signify the evolving political landscape in tribal-dominated regions.
  • Historical Turnovers: Post-Independence, Congress dominance in tribal areas faced challenges, with a bi-polar contest emerging in the 2003 elections and subsequent turnovers.

Analysis:

  • Political Dynamics: The historical shift from Congress to BJP dominance in tribal areas reflects evolving political strategies and grassroots mobilization.
  • Voter Behavior: Grievances against the Shivraj Singh Chouhan-led BJP government and demands for autonomy, job creation, and forest rights significantly influenced tribal voting patterns in the 2018 elections.
  • Historical Voting Trends: The 2003 elections marked the beginning of a bi-polar contest, with Congress gaining ground in 2008 and 2018, showcasing the dynamic nature of tribal votes.
  • Influence of Grassroots Movements: The sustained efforts of organizations like Vanvasi Kalyan Parishad and RSS contributed to BJP’s success in entering tribal areas.

Key Data:

  • Tribal Population Impact: Constitutes 21% of Madhya Pradesh, with 48 out of 230 assembly seats reserved for tribal communities.
  • Voter Turnout Surge: Tribal voter turnout rises significantly, reaching 76.39% in the 2018 assembly elections, indicating increased political consciousness.
  • Party Strength: Congress relies on tribal leaders like Umang Singhar, Bala Bachchan, and Kantilal Bhuria for securing seats in tribal-dominated areas.
  • BJP Initiatives: BJP highlights the appointment of Droupadi Murmu as the first tribal woman president and announces a Rs 24,000 crore welfare program for tribal communities.

Key Facts:

  • Prominent Figures: Congress relies on tribal leaders like Umang Singhar, Bala Bachchan, and Kantilal Bhuria to secure seats in tribal-dominated areas.
  • BJP Initiatives: BJP highlights the appointment of Droupadi Murmu as the first tribal woman president and announces a Rs 24,000 crore welfare program for tribal communities.
  • Shift in Voting Patterns: The 2018 elections witnessed a reversal, with Congress obtaining 32 seats and BJP 16, reflecting changing voter sentiments.
  • Role of Grassroots Movements: Organizations like Vanvasi Kalyan Parishad and RSS played a crucial role in BJP’s success in entering tribal areas.

Way Forward:

  • Inclusive Policies: Future success hinges on inclusive policies addressing tribal demands for autonomy, job opportunities, and access to welfare schemes.
  • Collaborative Governance: A collaborative approach between mainstream parties and tribal communities is crucial to ensure effective representation and address long-standing grievances.
  • Responsive Electoral Strategies: Adaptable and responsive political approaches are essential to navigate the dynamic nature of tribal voting patterns.
  • Effective Policy Implementation: Resolving policy demands related to autonomy, job creation, forest conservation, and welfare schemes becomes pivotal in securing tribal votes.

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Agricultural Sector and Marketing Reforms – eNAM, Model APMC Act, Eco Survey Reco, etc.

Uncertain future in a sea of poppies

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Major Opium-Producing Districts

Mains level: cultural heritage, economic considerations, and global standards for opium farming

GOAF

Central idea

The article explores the multifaceted challenges arising from the intersection of cultural pride and economic shifts in opium cultivation in India. It delves into concerns surrounding the government’s policy shift, addressing potential impacts on livelihoods, national security, and transparency.

Key Highlights

  • Cultural Significance of Opium Cultivation: Opium farming is a source of cultural pride, termed “agriculture of dignity” in the Mewar region, linking social status to this traditional trade and reflecting generations’ engagement.
  • Government Policy Shift in 2021: In 2021, the government allowed private players to produce Concentrate of Poppy Straw (CPS) alongside traditional opium gum, aiming to boost alkaloid yield and align India with global practices. However, this shift faces resistance from opium farmers.
  • Concerns about Private Players: Opium farmers express worries about the entry of private companies, fearing threats to livelihood, profits, and national security. Farmers argue that private involvement may lead to misuse of opium, increased drug trafficking, and rising costs of life-saving medicines.
  • Impact on Farmers and Traditional Practices: Opium farmers face economic challenges, citing stagnant procurement rates, increased input costs, and reduced poppy seed yield under the new system. The shift to CPS raises concerns about transparency, farmer consultation, and the potential decline in income for traditional opium cultivators.

Challenges

  • Threat to Livelihood and National Security: Opium farmers fear that private entry may endanger their profession and lead to increased drug-related issues. There is a possibility of drug mafia influence and security threats if alkaloids fall into the wrong hands.
  • Impact of Policy Shift on Farmers: Economic challenges for opium farmers, including reduced poppy seed yield and concerns about transparent practices under CPS. Farmers worry about income loss and express dissatisfaction with the lack of government consultation.
  • Safety and Security of Alkaloids: Opium farmers question the safety and security of alkaloids under private production. Fears that private involvement may compromise the integrity of life-saving medicines made from opium.
  • Division among Farmers and Lack of Transparency: Farmers express concerns about the government creating divisions with two production systems. Calls for transparent policies and farmer involvement, alleging a lack of transparency in the CPS mechanism.

Key Phrases and Terms for answer enrichment

  • Swabhiman ki Kheti (Agriculture of Dignity): Opium cultivation holds cultural pride in the Mewar region, reflecting social status.
  • Afeem and Aulat Barabar (Poppy Plants and Children Deserve Similar Treatment): Highlights the cultural significance of opium, equating it with the care given to children.
  • Concentrate of Poppy Straw (CPS): New method introduced in 2021, allowing private players to extract alkaloids from poppy straw alongside traditional opium gum.
  • Make in India: Farmers question the government’s commitment to “Make in India” while allowing imports of poppy seeds.

Analysis for mains answer

  • Cultural Pride vs. Economic Realities: Opium farming holds cultural significance, but economic challenges, policy shifts, and private entry threaten traditional practices.
  • Balancing Global Practices and Farmer Concerns: The government’s shift to CPS aligns with global norms but faces resistance from farmers concerned about income, transparency, and safety.
  • Security Concerns and Misuse of Opium: Farmers express worries about the potential misuse of opium and security threats, emphasizing the need for strict controls.
  • Need for Transparent Policies and Farmer Involvement: Farmers demand transparency, consultation, and the continuation of traditional practices, expressing dissatisfaction with the current policy.

Key Data and Facts

  • Opium Farmers in India: About 1 lakh farmers across 22 districts in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh have licenses to cultivate opium.
  • Major Opium-Producing Districts: Mandsaur, Neemuch, and Chittorgarh contribute to 80% of India’s opium production.
  • Change in Government Policy (2021): Government policy shift in 2021 allows private players to produce CPS, aiming to boost alkaloid yield.
  • Economic Impact on Farmers: Opium farmers face economic challenges, citing stagnant procurement rates, increased input costs, and reduced poppy seed yield under the new system.

Way forward

  • Policy Review and Farmer Consultation: Conduct a comprehensive review of the opium policy, ensuring active participation and consultation with opium farmers to address their concerns and incorporate their insights into the decision-making process.
  • Transparency Measures: Implement transparent mechanisms in the Concentrate of Poppy Straw (CPS) system, providing clear information on pricing, procurement, and production processes. This ensures accountability and builds trust among farmers.
  • Public-Private Collaboration: Establish a structured collaboration between the government and private entities to leverage expertise and resources. This collaboration should prioritize safeguarding national security, ensuring the integrity of medicinal opium production, and preventing misuse.
  • Diversification and Economic Support: Explore avenues for diversification in agriculture, providing support and incentives for opium farmers to engage in alternative crops. This can mitigate economic challenges and reduce dependency on a single agricultural practice.

As the government’s 2021 policy allows private entry, concerns about livelihoods, security, and transparency emerge. Navigating the way forward requires a delicate balance, harmonizing cultural heritage, economic considerations, and global standards for a sustainable future.

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Economic Indicators and Various Reports On It- GDP, FD, EODB, WIR etc

State of the economy — temper the euphoria

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Projected GDP Growth

Mains level: economic success after the COVID-19 pandemic

INDIA'S EXTERNAL TRADE RECOVERS STRONGLY IN 2021-22

Central idea

The article highlights India’s economic challenges, including concerns about post-COVID recovery sustainability, vulnerabilities to geopolitical shifts, a growing dependency on Chinese imports, and a decline in industrial growth rates. The central idea revolves around acknowledging these challenges and the imperative for strategic interventions to ensure long-term economic resilience and growth

Key Highlights

  • GDP Growth and Recovery: India’s GDP projected to grow by 6.3% in 2023-24, showcasing post-COVID recovery. Positive signs of resilience, but concerns persist about employment quality and inflation.
  • Geopolitical Shifts and Vulnerabilities: Globalization ended in 2022-23, exposing India to geopolitical vulnerabilities. Calls for a reevaluation of economic strategies to navigate changing global dynamics.
  • Trade Deficit with China: India grapples with a soaring trade deficit with China. Strategic threat due to dependency on Chinese imports; calls for diversification.
  • Industrial Woes and Growth Rates: Industrial growth rates, especially in capital goods, have regressed. Decline in key sectors signals a threat to overall economic stability.
  • Public Sector Investment: Public sector investment appears stagnant despite reported growth. Doubts about credibility underscore the need for transparent reporting.
  • Social Development Challenges: India’s Human Development Index (HDI) ranking has slipped. Recognition of challenges in social development, prompting a need for improved strategies.

Challenges

  • Sustainability Concerns Post-COVID Recovery: Quality and sustainability of post-COVID recovery raise concerns, necessitating comprehensive strategies.
  • Vulnerabilities to Geopolitical Shifts: Geopolitical vulnerabilities impact India’s economic stability, demanding adaptation of economic policies.
  • Dependency on Chinese Imports: Rising trade deficit with China poses economic frailty, urging the urgent need to diversify imports.
  • Decline in Industrial Growth: Regression in industrial growth rates, especially in capital goods, requiring targeted interventions for revitalization.

Key Phrases and Terms for making mains answer value added

  • Post-COVID Resilience: Short-term economic success after the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Geopolitical Realignment: Recognition of shifts in global dynamics impacting India’s economic strategies.
  • Trade Deficit Dynamics: China’s influence on India’s economic vulnerabilities due to a soaring trade deficit.
  • Industrial Regression: Decline in growth rates, especially in capital goods, signaling industrial challenges.
  • Credibility of Public Sector Investment: Doubts raised about the accuracy of reported public sector investment growth..

Analysis of the article in balanced way for mains score improvement

  • Short-Term Success vs. Long-Term Resilience: Balancing short-term GDP growth with the need for sustainable and inclusive recovery.
  • Adapting to Geopolitical Realities: Necessity to adapt economic policies to navigate geopolitical shifts and ensure stability.
  • Diversification for Economic Stability: Addressing the trade deficit challenge by diversifying imports and promoting self-reliance.
  • Revitalizing Key Sectors for Growth: Targeted interventions required to revitalize industrial growth, especially in crucial sectors.

Key Data and Facts

  • Projected GDP Growth (2023-24):3%
  • Trade Deficit with China: Strategic Threat
  • Industrial Growth Decline: Capital Goods
  • HDI Ranking (2021): Decline

The Way Forward

  • Sustainable and Inclusive Growth: Develop comprehensive strategies for sustained and inclusive growth post-COVID.
  • Adaptive Economic Policies: Adapt economic policies to navigate evolving global dynamics and ensure stability.
  • Diversification and Self-Reliance: Diversify imports and boost domestic production for economic self-reliance.
  • Targeted Interventions for Industrial Revitalization: Implement targeted interventions to revitalize key industrial sectors and stimulate overall economic growth.

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