Economic Indicators and Various Reports On It- GDP, FD, EODB, WIR etc

Dollarization and Economic Policy: The Case of Javier Milei’s Argentina

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Dollarization

Mains level: NA

Central Idea

  • Argentina faces over 100% inflation and widespread poverty, prompting public support for Milei’s unique economic policies.
  • This has prompted the newly elected Javier Milei replacing the peso with the dollar, abolishing the Central Bank, and cutting government spending.

Concept of Dollarization

  • Dollarization is the process by which a country adopts a foreign currency in addition to or instead of its national currency.
  • Here are 2 types of dollarization:
  1. Full Dollarization: This occurs when a country adopts a foreign currency (such as the US dollar) as its sole legal tender. In this scenario, the foreign currency completely replaces the domestic currency for all financial transactions.
  2. Partial Dollarization: In this case, the foreign currency is used alongside the national currency. It often happens unofficially, where residents hold a significant portion of their assets or conduct a large number of their transactions in the foreign currency.

Motive behind Argentine move

  • Hyperinflation Solution: Dollarization could break the cycle of rising prices and money supply, as the dollar is not easily manipulated for political gains.
  • Growth Potential: By using dollars, economies might focus on exports and attract foreign investment, benefiting from the dollar’s stability.

Potential Challenges

  • Loss of Monetary Policy Control: Adopting the dollar means losing the ability to control the money supply through domestic monetary policy.
  • Dependence on Export Promotion: Economies must rely solely on export promotion for economic stability, as currency depreciation is no longer an option.

Ecuador’s Experience  

  • Economic Turnaround: Ecuador, after adopting the dollar, saw significant improvements in GDP growth, poverty reduction, and inflation control.
  • Oil and Gas Reserves: Ecuador’s success was partly due to its natural resources, which helped maintain a steady dollar inflow.
  • Beyond Dollarization: Ecuador’s economic prosperity was also due to effective fiscal policies and government interventions in the oil sector.
  • Social Spending: Increased social spending played a crucial role in translating economic gains into societal benefits.

Comparative Analysis: Greece and the Euro

  • Euro Adoption in Greece: Greece’s adoption of the euro initially spurred growth but later limited its fiscal and monetary policy options.
  • Austerity Measures: The Eurozone crisis forced Greece into austerity, highlighting the risks of adopting an external currency without policy autonomy.

Conclusion

  • Not a Panacea: Dollarization, while potentially stabilizing, is not a standalone solution and requires complementary domestic policies.
  • Argentina’s Uncertain Future: With Milei’s intent to slash government spending and abolish the Central Bank, Argentina’s economic future under his administration remains uncertain.

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