Civil Aviation Sector – CA Policy 2016, UDAN, Open Skies, etc.

IndiGo’s Aircraft Order: A Game Changer for Indian Aviation

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: NA

Mains level: Indian Aviation Sector

aviation india

Central Idea

  • IndiGo, India’s largest airline, recently made history by placing an order for 500 planes, setting a new world record.
  • This landmark deal comes on the heels of Air India’s order for 470 aircraft a few months ago.
  • This article explores the transformative impact of IndiGo’s order and its implications for the future of Indian aviation.

IndiGo’s Order and its Implications

  • Doubling the Current Fleet: IndiGo’s order brings their total aircraft count to 1,330, almost twice the size of the current Indian aviation market.
  • Fueling Connectivity: Expanded capacity expected to enhance domestic and international connectivity.
  • Global Impact: Improved direct connectivity across Europe and South Asia as a result of the record-breaking order.

Indian Aviation Sector: A quick recap

aviation

  • Big market: India ranks as the third-largest domestic aviation market globally, with significant annual domestic air traffic.
  • Lower air travel penetration: India has the potential to become the third-largest international aviation market, given the substantial gap between current air travel penetration and potential demand.
  • Shift in Market Dynamics: Competition is intensifying with the emergence of strong players like Air India and Akasa Air, challenging IndiGo’s dominance.
  • Targeting New Destinations: IndiGo eyes expansion into Europe and East Asia, while Air India aims to surpass foreign carriers in flights to the US and Europe.
  • Focus on Multiple International Hubs: The government encourages airlines and airports to develop multiple international hubs within India.

Duopoly under discussion

  • IndiGo’s Market Share: Holding a commanding 61.4% market share according to the Directorate General of Civil Aviation.
  • Air India Umbrella: Combined share of Air India, Vistara, AirAsia India, and Air India Express at 26.3%.
  • Duopoly: IndiGo and Air India’s combined market share of 88% signals a duopoly in the industry.
  • Challenges for Competitors: Limited means and strong promoter groups leave other airlines struggling to scale up.

Impact on Air Fares

  • Unregulated Air Fares: Unregulated air fares in India subject to market dynamics.
  • Supply Chain Issues: Delivery delays due to supply chain challenges impacting fares.
  • Temporary Suspension Impact: Go First’s operational suspension leading to reduced flight availability and higher air fares.
  • Long-Term Stabilization: Potential for fares to stabilize as airlines increase capacity over time.

Future Aircraft Orders

  • Anticipated Orders: CAPA India predicts Indian airlines to order 1,500-1,700 planes in the next two years.
  • Recent Orders: IndiGo and Air India have already placed orders for 970 aircraft.
  • New Entrant: Expectations of additional orders from Akasa Air, a new airline in India.
  • Conversion Options: Air India’s 370 optioned aircraft can be converted into firm orders later.
  • Replacing Aging Fleet: Older aircraft retiring necessitate new orders for efficient and modern replacements.

India’s Appeal to Airlines

  • Economic Growth and Rising Middle Class: India’s fast-growing major economy and expanding middle class create strong air travel demand.
  • Untapped Market Potential: Under-penetrated aviation market offers significant growth opportunities for airlines.
  • Airport Development: Construction of new airports across India fuels the demand for air travel.
  • Resilient Recovery: Surpassing pre-COVID passenger numbers, indicating a resilient bounce-back in the sector.

Challenges Faced by Indian Aviation

  • Debt Burden: Air India’s acquisition by the Tata Group poses the challenge of raising substantial funds, given the airline’s existing debt.
  • Financial Implications: Securing a loan of the required magnitude may prove challenging, impacting the financial viability of the deal.
  • Make-in-India Clause: The inclusion of a Make-in-India clause in the final agreement is crucial to ensuring direct economic benefits for the Indian economy.
  • Potential Concerns: Without adequate provisions, India may become a mere customer of goods without reaping significant economic advantages.
  • Costly Operational Environment: The Indian aviation industry grapples with high operating costs, including fuel expenses, airport fees, and taxes, which can impact profitability.
  • Profitability Concerns: The industry needs to address these cost challenges to maximize the returns from the influx of new aircraft.
  • Outdated Infrastructure: Obsolete air traffic control systems, inadequate ground support services, and limited airport capacity pose barriers to efficient operations.
  • Regulatory Framework Limitations: The industry faces difficulties due to regulatory complexities and limitations that hinder growth and innovation.

Conclusion

  • IndiGo’s record-breaking aircraft order, coupled with Air India’s recent purchase, is poised to revolutionize the Indian aviation industry.
  • With increased capacity and enhanced connectivity, this landmark development is set to propel economic growth and benefit both domestic and international travellers.
  • As India’s economy continues to thrive and air travel demand remains strong, airlines are optimistic about the future, heralding a dynamic era for the Indian aviation sector.

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