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Climate Change Impact on India and World – International Reports, Key Observations, etc.

Sundarbans among 5 sites with highest ‘Blue Carbon’ globally

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Blue carbon, Sunderbans

Mains level: Carbon sequestration

India’s Sundarbans National Park is among five sites that have the highest blue carbon stocks globally, according to a new assessment.

Highlights of the study

  • ‘World Heritage forests’ are now releasing more carbon than they are absorbing, primarily due to human activity and climate change, according to the assessment.
  • UNESCO lists 50 sites across the globe for their unique marine values. These represent just one per cent of the global ocean area.
  • But they comprise at least 15 per cent of global blue carbon assests.

Try this question from CSP 2021:

Q. What is blue carbon?

(a) Carbon captured by oceans and coastal ecosystems

(b) Carbon sequestered in forest biomass and agricultural soils

(c) Carbon contained in petroleum and natural gas

(d) Carbon present in atmosphere

 

Post your answers here.

Carbon capacity of Sundarbans

  • The Sundarbans National Park has stores of 60 million tonnes of carbon (Mt C).
  • The other four sites besides the Sundarbans National Park in India are:
  1. Bangladeshi portion of the Sundarbans (110 Mt C)
  2. Great Barrier Reef in Australia (502 Mt C)
  3. Everglades National Park in the US (400 Mt C) and
  4. Banc d’Arguin National Park in Mauritania (110 Mt C)

About Sundarbans

  • Sundarbans is the largest delta and mangrove forest in the world.
  • The Indian Sunderbans, which covers 4,200 sq km, comprises of the Sunderban Tiger Reserve of 2,585 sq km is home to about 96 Royal Bengal Tigers (2020) is also a world heritage site and a Ramsar Site.
  • The Indian Sunderbans is bound on the west by river Muriganga and on the east by rivers Harinbhahga and Raimangal.
  • Other major rivers flowing through this eco-system are Saptamukhi, Thakuran, Matla and Goasaba.

Worrying scenario

  • The researchers found that 10 of 257 forests emitted more carbon than they captured between 2001 and 2020.
  • The reasons for included clearance of land for agriculture, the increasing scale and severity of wildfires due to drought as well as extreme weather phenomena.
  • The 10 sites are:
  1. Tropical Rainforest Heritage of Sumatra (Indonesia)
  2. Río Plátano Biosphere Reserve (Honduras)
  3. Yosemite National Park (US)
  4. Waterton Glacier International Peace Park (Canada, US)
  5. Barberton Makhonjwa Mountains (South Africa)
  6. Kinabalu Park (Malaysia)
  7. Uvs Nuur Basin (Russian Federation, Mongolia)
  8. Grand Canyon National Park (US)
  9. Greater Blue Mountains Area (Australia)
  10. Morne Trois Pitons National Park (Dominica)

(Try mapping these sites)


Back2Basics: Types of Carbon

  • Brown Carbon: It is brown smoke released by the combustion of organic matter.
  • Black Carbon: It is also a greenhouse gas and causes more pollution than Brown Carbon. The particles leftover from incomplete combustion of fossil fuels (soot and dust). It has a greater effect on radiation transmission.
  • Green Carbon: Carbon incorporated into plant biomass and the soils below. Green carbon is carbon removed by photosynthesis and stored in the plants and soil of natural ecosystems.
  • Blue Carbon: Blue Carbon refers to coastal, aquatic and marine carbon sinks held by the indicative vegetation, marine organism and sediments.

 

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Health Sector – UHC, National Health Policy, Family Planning, Health Insurance, etc.

Strengthening healthcare through ABHIM

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: ABHIM

Mains level: Paper 2- ABHIM

Context

The Pradhan Mantri Ayushman Bharat Health Infrastructure Mission (ABHIM), announced recently, seeks to realise greater investment in the health system as proposed in the Budget, implement the Fifteenth Finance Commission recommendations such as strengthening of urban and rural primary care, stronger surveillance systems and laboratory capacity.

Measures of ABHIM

  • It will support infrastructure development of 17,788 rural health and wellness centres (HWCs) in seven high-focus States and three north-eastern States.
  • In addition, 11,044 urban HWCs will be established in close collaboration with Urban Local Bodies.
  • The various measures of this scheme will extend primary healthcare services across India.
  • Areas like hypertension, diabetes and mental health will be covered, in addition to existing services.
  • Support for 3,382 block public health units (BPHUs) in 11 high-focus States and establishment of integrated district public health laboratories in all 730 districts will strengthen capacity for information technology-enabled disease surveillance.
  • To enhance the capabilities for microbial surveillance, a National Platform for One Health will be established.
  • Four Regional National Institutes of Virology will be established.
  • Laboratory capacity under the National Centre for Disease Control, the Indian Council of Medical Research and national research institutions will be strengthened.
  • Fifteen bio-safety level III labs will augment the capacity for infectious disease control and bio-security.

Way forward

  • There is a need to train and deploy a larger and better skilled health workforce.
  • We must scale up institutional capacity for training public health professionals.
  • Private sector participation in service delivery may be invited by States, as per need and availability.
  • ABHIM, if financed and implemented efficiently, can strengthen India’s health system by augmenting capacity in several areas and creating a framework for coordinated functioning at district, state and national levels.
  • Many independently functioning programmes will have to work with a common purpose by leaping across boundaries of separate budget lines and reporting structures.
  • That calls for a change of bureaucratic mindsets and a cultural shift in Centre-State relations.

Conclusion

The ABHIM can fix the weaknesses in India’s healthcare system.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-Russia

Energy cooperation as the backbone of India-Russia ties

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Not much

Mains level: Paper 2- Energy partnership with Russia

Context

With its abundant energy sources and appetite for trade diversification, Russia could be an ultimate long-term partner of India as it tries to diversify its trade relations.

Energy partnership

  • Indian Prime Minister in a virtual address at 6th Eastern Economic Forum (EEF) in Russia’s Vladivostok said that “India-Russia energy partnership can help bring stability to the global energy market.”
  • Indian and Russian Energy Ministers announced that the countries’ companies have been pushing for greater cooperation in the oil and gas sector beyond the U.S.$32 billion already invested in joint projects.
  • India’s Minister for Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri referred to Russia as the largest investor in India’s energy sector.
  • One of the examples of cooperation between the two countries in energy transformation is the joint venture between India’s Reliance Industries Ltd. and Russia’s Sibur, the country’s largest petrochemicals producer.
  • Apart from accounting for most of the Indian butyl rubber market, Reliance Sibur Elastomers exports its products to Asia, Europe, the United States, Brazil and other countries.
  • A few years ago, Rosneft invested U.S.$12.9 billion in India’s second-largest private oil refiner, Essar Oil, renamed Nayara Energy, marking it one of the most significant foreign investments in years.
  • Partnership in renewable: In efforts to transition to green energy, India has recently achieved a significant milestone of completing the countrywide installation of 100 gigawatts of total installed renewable energy capacity, excluding large hydro.
  • A recent Deloitte report has forecasted that India could gain U.S.$11 trillion in economic value over the next 50 years by limiting rising global temperatures and realising its potential to ‘export decarbonization’.
  • Unknowns of climate change and threats of a new pandemic suggest that the country should accelerate its energy transition. Russia, one of the key global players across the energy market, could emerge as an indispensable partner for such a transition.
  • Partnership in nuclear energy: Russian companies have been involved in the construction of six nuclear reactors in the Kudankulam nuclear power project at Tamil Nadu.
  • India and Russia secure the potential of designing a nuclear reactor specifically for developing countries, which is a promising area of cooperation.
  • India’s nuclear power generation capacity of 6,780 MW may increase to 22,480 MW by 2031, contributing to the country’s efforts to turn to green energy.

Way forward

  • In September, almost all of Russia’s major energy companies were interested in projects in India, Russia’s Energy Minister said at the Vladivostok forum in September, adding that he sees prospects for energy cooperation in all areas.
  • However, the current bilateral exchange rate needs to accelerate for India to grasp its potential from energy transformation.

Conclusion

To meet its growing energy demand and succeed in green transformation, India needs approximately U.S.$500 billion of investments in wind and solar infrastructure, grid expansion, and storage to reach the 450 GW capacity target by 2030. Therefore, more efforts are needed to expand cooperation with such partners as Russia.

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Important Judgements In News

Analysing the Supreme Court’s Pegasus order

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Pegasus

Mains level: Paper 2- Pegasus issue

Context

The Supreme Court of India has appointed a committee presided by Justice (Retd.) R V Raveendran to inquire into the Pegasus revelations.

Terms of reference

  • The court’s terms of reference include queries on, “What steps/actions have been taken by the Union of India after reports were published in the year 2019 about hacking of WhatsApp accounts”, and, “Whether any Pegasus suite of spyware was acquired by the Union of India, or any State Government, or any central or state agency for use against the citizens of India”.
  • The constitution of this committee marks an important step towards accountability for the victims and the larger public on the use of Pegasus.

Significance of the committee on Pegasus issue

1) Transparency and disclosure

  • The order of the court constituting the committee attains significance for three clear reasons.
  • The first is the court’s continuing insistence on transparency and disclosure by the Union government.
  • The only filing made in court by the government was a limited affidavit, containing short paragraphs of generalised denials and the sole annexure of a statement by the Minister for Electronics and IT before Parliament.
  • Immediately, the Supreme Court pointed out that these are inadequate and provided further time.

2) The SC’s approach towards national security

  • The second reason is the Supreme Court’s firm approach towards the national security submissions by the Union government.
  • The court correctly applied the settled convention on legal pleadings and affidavits by asking the government to, “necessarily plead and prove the facts which indicate that the information sought must be kept secret as their divulgence would affect national security concerns.”
  • The second aspect of the national security argument is how the court balances it with the fundamental right to privacy.
  • Here, drawing from the framework of the K S Puttaswamy judgment the court specifically states that, “national security cannot be the bugbear that the judiciary shies away from, by virtue of its mere mentioning” and, “mere invocation of national security by the State does not render the Court a mute spectator”.
  • These are significant observations that, when followed as precedent, will bolster confidence in constitutional adjudications especially when courts demand evidence on arguments of “national security” to avoid generalised statements made to evade accountability.

3)  Rejection of the suggestion by the Solicitor-General to constitute a government committee of experts

  • The court correctly notes that even though the Pegasus revelations were first made on November 1, 2019, there has been little movement on any official inquiry.
  • It also records the genuine apprehension of the petitioners, many of whom are victims of Pegasus, that since the sale of this malware can only be made to governments, they fear the involvement of state agencies.

Challenges

  • These include the functioning of the committee and the cooperation of government witnesses, the publication of the report so as to ensure public confidence and, ultimately, the directions and remedy provided by the Supreme Court.

Conclusion

Hence, the constitution of this committee provides hope. At the same time, any honest assessment should consider the more challenging tasks ahead.

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Right To Privacy

Supreme Court forms committee to examine Pegasus allegations

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Articles mentioned in the newscard

Mains level: Pegasus issue

The Supreme Court has appointed an independent expert technical committee overseen by a former apex court judge, Justice R.V. Raveendran, to examine allegations that the government used Israeli spyware, Pegasus, to snoop on its own citizens.

Why need a committee?

  • Decisions in cases seeking enforcement of fundamental rights are based on facts.
  • The task of determining these facts, when they are disputed or unknown, are often assigned to committees, which act as an agent of the court.
  • Such committees or fact-finding teams can summon individuals, prepare ground reports, and inform the court.
  • The Pegasus case involves technical questions, and requires extensive fact-finding for the court to determine whether fundamental rights were violated, and to pass suitable orders.

Functions of the committee:

What is Pegasus?

  • All spyware do what the name suggests — they spy on people through their phones.
  • Pegasus works by sending an exploit link, and if the target user clicks on the link, the malware or the code that allows the surveillance is installed on the user’s phone.
  • A presumably newer version of the malware does not even require a target user to click a link.
  • Once Pegasus is installed, the attacker has complete access to the target user’s phone.

Why in news?

  • The three-judge bench, headed by CJI N V Ramana rejected the government’s plea to let it constitute an expert panel to investigate the issue.

What did the SC rule?

  • The SC order broadly addresses three issues that have been flagged in the Pegasus row:
  1. Citizen’s right to privacy (Article 21)
  2. Judicial review when the executive invokes national security (Article 13, Article 32)

(Article 13: declares that any law which contravenes any of the provisions of the part of Funda­mental Rights shall be void.

Articles 32 and 226 entrusts the roles of the protector and guarantor of fundamental rights to the Supreme and High Courts.)

  1. Implications of surveillance on free speech

[A] Upholding Right to Privacy

  • The Court, pointing to its own judgment in K S Puttaswamy Case (2017) has said that “right to privacy (under Article 21) is as sacrosanct as human existence.
  • It is inalienable to human dignity and autonomy.
  • While agreeing that it is not an absolute right, the Court has said any restrictions “must necessarily pass constitutional scrutiny”.
  • Any surveillance or snooping done on an individual by the state or any outside agency is an infringement of that person’s right to privacy.
  • Hence, any violation of that right by the state, even in national interest, has to follow procedures established by the law.

[B] Linking surveillance and censorship

  • The Court has also drawn a link between:
  1. Surveillance, especially the knowledge that one is under the threat of being spied on”, and
  2. Censorship, particularly self-censorship, to reflect on the potential chilling effect that snooping techniques may have
  • The chilling effect surveillance can produce, is an assault on the vital public-watchdog role of the press, which may undermine the ability of the press to provide accurate and reliable information.

[C] Constituting a panel

  • The Court has constituted a panel of experts under former SC judge Justice R V Raveendran.
  • It has sharply defined the questions it needs to ask and find answers to: Was any Pegasus suite of spyware acquired by the central or any state government for use against the citizens of India.
  • It would inquire under what law, rule, guidelines, protocol or lawful procedure was such deployment made.
  • These are vital questions at the heart of a citizen’s basic rights.

Significance of the Judgement

  • The order is a strong rebuttal of the government’s specious and self-serving use of national security.
  • The Court has ruled that the state does not get a free pass every time the spectre of ‘national security’ is raised.
  • This also means “no omnibus prohibition can be called for against judicial review” if the matter impinges on national security.

 

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AIIB & The Changing World Order

APVAX Initiative

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: ADB, AIIB

Mains level: Not Much

The Government of India has applied for loans from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) to procure as many as 667 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines under the APVAX initiative.

Try this question from CSP 2019

Q.With reference to Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), consider the following statements:

  1. AIIB has more than 80 member nations.
  2. India is the largest shareholder in AIIB.
  3. AIIB does not have any members from outside Asia.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

(a) 1 only

(b) 2 and 3 only

(c) 1 and 3 only

(d) 1, 2 and 3

 

Post your answers here.

APVAX Initiative

  • The ADB is expected to lend $1.5 billion and the AIIB around $500 million for the vaccine purchase by India.
  • It which has been made under the ADB’s Asia Pacific Vaccine Access Facility (APVAX) initiative.
  • Launched in December 2020, APVAX offers “rapid and equitable support to its developing member countries as they procure and deliver effective and safe COVID-19 vaccines”.
  • The Beijing-headquartered AIIB will co-finance the vaccine procurement.

About Asian Development Bank (ADB)

  • The ADB is a regional development bank established on 19 December 1966.
  • It is headquartered in the Ortigas Center located in the city of Mandaluyong, Metro Manila, Philippines.
  • From 31 members at its establishment, ADB now has 68 members.
  • The ADB was modelled closely on the World Bank, and has a similar weighted voting system where votes are distributed in proportion with members’ capital subscriptions.
  • ADB is an official United Nations Observer.
  • As of 31 December 2020, Japan and the UN each holds the largest proportion of shares at 15.571%.
  • China holds 6.429%, India holds 6.317%, and Australia holds 5.773%.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)

  • The AIIB is a multilateral development bank that aims to improve economic and social outcomes in Asia.
  • The bank was proposed by China in 2013 and the initiative was launched at a ceremony in Beijing in October 2014.
  • The bank currently has 103 members, including 16 prospective members from around the world.
  • The starting capital of the bank was US$100 billion, equivalent to 2⁄3 of the capital of the Asian Development Bank and about half that of the World Bank.
  • It received the highest credit ratings from the three biggest rating agencies in the world, and is seen as a potential rival to the World Bank and IMF.

AIIB and India

  • So far, the AIIB has approved loans for 28 projects in India amounting to $6.7 billion, more than for any other member of the multilateral bank.
  • India is the second-largest shareholder after China in the bank, which does not count the U.S. and Japan among its members.

 

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Citizenship and Related Issues

Unified Database of Birth and Death

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Unified Database of Birth and Death

Mains level: Not Much

The Centre has proposed amendments to a 1969 law that will enable it to “maintain the database of registered birth and deaths at the national level”.

Registration of Births and Deaths Act (RBD), 1969

  • The registration of births, deaths and stillbirths are compulsory under the provisions of RBD Act in all parts of the Country.
  • The normal period of 21 days (from the date of occurrence) has been prescribed for reporting the birth, death and stillbirth events.

Why need amendment?

  • The database may be used to update the Population Register and the electoral register, and Aadhaar, ration card, passport and driving licence databases after the amendment.
  • Presently, the registration of births and deaths is done by the local registrar appointed by States.

What are the proposed amendments?

Ans. Unified Database of Birth and Death

  • It is proposed that the Chief Registrar (appointed by the States) would maintain a unified database at the State level.
  • It would then integrate it with the data at the “national level,” maintained by the Registrar General of India (RGI).
  • The amendments will imply that the Centre will be a parallel repository of data.

Significance of the database

  • It would help update:
  1. Population Register prepared under the Citizenship Act, 1955;
  2. Electoral registers or electoral rolls prepared under the Representation of the People Act, 1951
  3. Aadhaar database prepared under the Aadhaar Act, 2016;
  4. Ration card database prepared under the National Food Security Act, 2013;
  5. Passport database prepared under the Passport Act; and
  6. Driving licence database under the Motor Vehicles (Amendment) Act, 2019, and
  7. Other databases at the national level are subject to provisons of Section 17 (1) of the RBD Act, 1969

 

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Agricultural Sector and Marketing Reforms – eNAM, Model APMC Act, Eco Survey Reco, etc.

Krishi UDAN 2.0 Scheme

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: E-KAUSHAL, Krishi UDAAN

Mains level: Agricultural promotion

The Union Minister of Civil Aviation has launched Krishi UDAN 2.0.

Krishi UDAN 2.0

  • The scheme proposes to facilitating and incentivizing movement of Agri-produce by air transportation.
  • It lays out the vision of improving value realization through better integration and optimization of Agri-harvesting and air transportation.
  • It works by contributing to Agri-value chain sustainability and resilience under different and dynamic conditions.
  • It will be implemented at 53 airports across the country mainly focusing on Northeast and tribal regions and is likely to benefit farmer, freight forwarders and Airlines.

Key highlights of the scheme

  • Facilitating and incentivizing movement of Agri-produce by air transportation: Full waiver of Landing, Parking, TNLC and RNFC charges for Indian freighters and P2C at selected Airports. Primarily, focusing on NER, Hilly, and tribal regions.
  • Strengthening cargo-related infrastructure at airports and off airports: Facilitating the development of a hub and spoke model and a freight grid.
  • Concessions sought from other bodies: Seek support and encourage States to reduce Sales Tax to 1% on aviation fuels for freighters / P2C aircraft as extended in UDAN flights.
  • Resources-Pooling through establishing Convergence mechanism: Collaboration with other government departments and regulatory bodies.
  • Technological convergence: Development of E-KUSHAL (Krishi UDAN for Sustainable Holistic Agri-Logistics).

What is E-KAUSHAL?

  • It is a platform to be developed to facilitate information dissemination to all the stakeholders.
  • This will be a single platform that will provide relevant information at the same time will also assist in coordination, monitoring and evaluation of the scheme.
  • Furthermore, integration of E-KUSHAL with the National Agriculture Market (e-NAM) is proposed.

Airports under the scheme

Proposed timeline Locations
2021 – 2022 Agartala, Srinagar, Dibrugarh, Dimapur, Hubballi, Imphal, Jorhat, Lilabari, Lucknow, Silchar, Tezpur, Tirupati, Tuticorin
2022 – 2023 Ahmedabad, Bhavnagar, Jharsuguda, Kozhikode, Mysuru, Puducherry, Rajkot, Vijayawada
2023 – 2024 Agra, Darbhanga, Gaya, Gwalior, Pakyong, Pantnagar, Shillong, Shimla, Udaipur, Vadodara
2024 – 2025 Holangi, Salem

7 focus routes & products

Routes Products
Amritsar – Dubai Babycorn
Darbhanga – Rest of India Lichis
Sikkim – Rest of India Organic produce
Chennai, Vizag, Kolkata – Far East Seafood
Agartala – Delhi & Dubai Pineapple
Dibrugarh – Delhi & Dubai Mandarin & Oranges
Guwahati  – Hong Kong Pulses, fruits & vegetables

 

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Cyber Security – CERTs, Policy, etc

[pib] CERT-In authorized as CVE Numbering Authority (CNA)

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: CNA, CVE Program, CERT-IN

Mains level: Cyber security challenges for India

CERT-In has partnered with the Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) Program and has been authorized as a CVE Numbering Authority (CNA) for vulnerabilities impacting all products designed, developed and manufactured in India.

What is CVE Program?

  • CVE is an international, community-based effort and relies on the community to discover vulnerabilities.
  • The vulnerabilities are discovered then assigned and published to the CVE List.
  • Information technology and cybersecurity professionals use CVE Records to ensure they are discussing the same issue, and to coordinate their efforts to prioritize and address the vulnerabilities.
  • Partners publish CVE Records to communicate consistent descriptions of vulnerabilities.

Mission of the Program

  • The mission of the CVE Program is to identify, define, and catalog publicly disclosed cybersecurity vulnerabilities.
  • The vulnerabilities are discovered then assigned and published by organizations from around the world that have partnered with the CVE Program.

Who are the CNAs?

  • CNAs are organizations responsible for the regular assignment of CVE IDs to vulnerabilities, and for creating and publishing information about the Vulnerability in the associated CVE Record.
  • The CVE List is built by CVE Numbering Authorities (CNAs).
  • Every CVE Record added to the list is assigned by a CNA.
  • The CVE Records published in the catalog enable program stakeholders to rapidly discover and correlate vulnerability information used to protect systems against attacks.
  • Each CNA has a specific Scope of responsibility for vulnerability identification and publishing.

Back2Basics: Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT-IN)

  • CERT-IN is an office within the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology.
  • It is the nodal agency to deal with cyber security threats like hacking and phishing. It strengthens the security-related defense of the Indian Internet domain.
  • It was formed in 2004 by the Government of India under the Information Technology Act, 2000 Section (70B) under the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology.

 

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Health Sector – UHC, National Health Policy, Family Planning, Health Insurance, etc.

Preparing for outbreaks

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: ABHIM

Mains level: Paper 2- ABHIM

Context

Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched the Ayushman Bharat Health Infrastructure Mission, one of the largest pan-India schemes for strengthening healthcare infrastructure, in his parliamentary constituency Varanasi in Uttar Pradesh.

Aims of Pradhan Mantri Ayushman Bharat Health Infrastructure Mission (ABHIM) and how it seeks to achieve it

  • This was launched with an outlay of ₹64,180 crore over a period of five years.
  •  In addition to the National Health Mission, this scheme will work towards strengthening public health institutions and governance capacities for wide-ranging diagnostics and treatment, including critical care services.
  • The latter goal would be met with the establishment of critical care hospital blocks in 12 central institutions such as the All India Institute of Medical Sciences, and in government medical colleges and district hospitals in 602 districts.
  • Laboratories and their preparedness: The government will be establishing integrated district public health labs in 730 districts to provide comprehensive laboratory services.
  • Research: ABHIM will focus on supporting research on COVID-19 and other infectious diseases, including biomedical research to generate evidence to inform short-term and medium-term responses to such pandemics.
  • One health approach: The government also aims to develop a core capacity to deliver the ‘one health’ approach to prevent, detect, and respond to infectious disease outbreaks in humans and animals.
  • Surveillance labs: A network of surveillance labs will be developed at the block, district, regional and national levels for detecting, investigating, preventing, and combating health emergencies and outbreaks.
  • Local capacities in urban areas: A major highlight of the current pandemic has been the requirement of local capacities in urban areas.
  • The services from the existing urban primary health centres will be expanded to smaller units – Ayushman Bharat Urban Health and Wellness Centres and polyclinics or specialist clinics.

Conclusion

The Pradhan Mantri Ayushman Bharat Health Infrastructure Mission (ABHIM) is another addition to the arsenal we have to prepare for such oubreaks in the future.

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Climate Change Negotiations – UNFCCC, COP, Other Conventions and Protocols

Why India shouldn’t sign on to net zero

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Global carbon budget

Mains level: Paper 3- Why India should not commit to net-zero emission target

Context

The recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change made it clear that limiting the increase in the world’s average temperature from pre-industrial levels to those agreed in the Paris Agreement requires global cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide to be capped at the global carbon budget.

Understanding why reaching net zero by itself is irrelevant to forestalling dangerous warming

  • The promise of when you will turn off the tap does not guarantee that you will draw only a specified quantity of water.
  • The top three emitters of the world — China, the U.S. and the European Union — even after taking account of their net zero commitments and their enhanced emission reduction commitments for 2030, will emit more than 500 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide before net zero.
  • These three alone will exceed the limit of about 500 billion tonnes from 2020 onwards, for even odds of keeping global temperature increase below 1.5°C.

Issues with ‘net zero’ target

  • Neither the Paris Agreement nor climate science requires that net zero be reached individually by countries by 2050, the former requiring only global achievement of this goal “in the second half of the century”.
  • Claims that the world “must” reach specific goals by 2030 or 2050 are the product of specific economic models for climate action.
  • They front-load emission reduction requirements on developing countries, despite their already low emissions, to allow the developed world to backload its own, buying time for its own transition.
  • These stringent limits on future cumulative emissions post 2020, amounting to less than a fifth of the total global carbon budget, is the result of its considerable over-appropriation in the past by the global North.
  • Promises of net zero in their current form perpetuate this hugely disproportionate appropriation of a global commons, while continuing to place humanity in harm’s way.

Suggestions for India

  • India is responsible for no more than 4.37% cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide since the pre-industrial era, even though it is home to more than a sixth of humanity.
  • India’s per capita emissions are less than half the world average, less than one-eighth of the U.S.’s.
  • For India to declare net zero now is to accede to the further over-appropriation of the global carbon budget by a few.
  • India’s contribution to global emissions, in both stock and flow, is so disproportionately low that any sacrifice on its part can do nothing to save the world.
  • India, in enlightened self-interest, must now stake its claim to a fair share of the global carbon budget.
  • Technology transfer and financial support, together with “negative emissions”, if the latter succeeds, can compensate for the loss of the past.
  • Such a claim by India provides it greater, and much-needed long-term options.
  • It enables the responsible use of coal, its major fossil fuel resource, and oil and gas, to bootstrap itself out of lower-middle-income economy status and eradicate poverty, hunger and malnutrition for good.
  • India’s resource-strapped small industries sector needs expansion and modernisation.
  • The agriculture sector, the second-largest source of greenhouse gas emissions for India after energy, needs to double its productivity and farmers’ incomes and build resilience.
  •  Infrastructure for climate resilience in general is critical to future adaptation to climate change.
  • All of these will require at least the limited fossil fuel resources made available through a fair share of the carbon budget.

Conclusion

Without restriction of their future cumulative emissions by the big emitters, to their fair share of the global carbon budget, and the corresponding temperature target that they correspond to made clear, India cannot sign on to net zero.

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Industrial Sector Updates – Industrial Policy, Ease of Doing Business, etc.

What to do about the heavy cost of doing business in India

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: EoDB

Mains level: Paper 3- Reducing the cost of doing business in India

Context

The controversy over Ease of the Doing Business (EoDB) notwithstanding, India must now sharpen its focus on the Cost of Doing Business (CoDB).

Cost of Doing Business in India

  • India has made considerable progress on EoDB rankings since 2016.
  • While the Centre’s focus on EoDB has been commendable, several state governments have also made efforts to improve business conditions.
  •  India must now sharpen its focus on the Cost of Doing Business (CoDB).
  • India lags behind other countries in terms of CoDB on several counts.

Two key factors influencing CoDB — energy costs and regulatory overload

  • High fuel costs: Diesel prices in India are 20.8 per cent higher than those in China, 39.3 per cent higher than in the US, 72.5 per cent higher than Bangladesh and 67.8 per cent higher than in Vietnam.
  • This is largely because of heavy taxation — total taxes on diesel account for over 130 per cent of the base price in India.
  • High power costs: In the case of electricity, prices for businesses in India were higher by around 7-12 per cent vis-à-vis those in the US, Bangladesh or China and by as much as 35-50 per cent as compared to those in South Korea or Vietnam prior to the recent coal/energy crisis.
  • Coal, which accounts for more than 70 per cent of electricity generation in India, is also pricier vis-à-vis other countries leading to higher electricity prices.
  • Like in the case of the petroleum sector, government levies account for nearly half of the prices paid by coal consumers.
  • And coal producers cannot claim input tax credit because electricity is not under GST.
  • Further, coal freight costs are amongst the highest in the world as high freight rates are used to cross-subsidise passenger fares by the railways.
  • Regulatory overload: Outsized regulatory levels also pose a significant burden on businesses.
  • A Teamlease report highlights that a small manufacturing company with just one plant and up to 500 employees is regulated by more than 750 compliances, 60 Acts and 23 licences and regulations.
  • A mid-sized manufacturing company with six plants spread across different states is regulated by more than 5,500 compliances, 135 Acts and 98 licences and registrations.
  •  Keeping track of such a large number of regulations along with the changes thereof, imposes huge operational and financial costs on businesses, particularly the MSME segment.

Way forward

  • Including fuels under GST would lower costs for businesses owing to input tax credit even if taxation levels continue to remain high.
  • Cleaning up the power distribution sector, which is largely state-controlled, could potentially lower electricity prices for businesses.
  • Fiscal incentives by the Centre: A majority of the compliances stem from the states and reducing this burden would require a significant push on states to act on this front.
  • The Centre could leverage the “carrot and stick” framework — using fiscal incentives to nudge the states to act and disincentivise them from maintaining the status quo.

Consider the question “What are the factors affecting the cost of doing business in India? Suggest the measures to reduce it.”

Conclusion

The Government must prioritise reducing the cost of energy and compliances for businesses rather than focusing on de jure measures to boost ease of doing business. These will boost India’s manufacturing competitiveness significantly and further increase formalisation in the economy.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-China

China’s new land border law and Indian concerns

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Not much

Mains level: China's territorial expansionism

China has recently passed a new land law for the “protection and exploitation of the country’s land border areas”.

Land Border Law: Key Takeaways

  • The law states that the sovereignty and territorial integrity of China are sacred and inviolable.
  • It asks the state to take measures to safeguard territorial integrity and land boundaries and guard against and combat any act that undermines these.
  • The state can take measures to strengthen border defence, support economic and social development as well as opening-up in border areas.
  • It seeks to improve public services and infrastructure in such areas, encourage and support people’s life and work there.

Other features

  • In effect, this suggests a push to settle civilians in the border areas.
  • The law also asks the state to follow the principles of equality, mutual trust, and friendly consultation, handle land border related-affairs with neighbouring countries.

China’s land borders

  • China shares its 22,457-km land boundary with 14 countries including India, the third-longest after the borders with Mongolia and Russia.
  • Unlike the Indian border, however, China’s borders with these two countries are not disputed.
  • The only other country with which China has disputed land borders is Bhutan (477 km).

Why is it significant for India?

  • China claims up to 90,000 square kilometres in Arunachal Pradesh in the eastern sector.
  • It has illegally occupied 38,000 square kilometres of Aksai Chin in the western sector of Jammu and Kashmir.
  • While recent tensions in the western sector have been centred on Ladakh, both sides have lately clashed in Uttarakhand as well.

A signal to India

  • The law is not meant specifically for the border with India.
  • However, this could create hurdles in the resolution of the 17-month-long military standoff at LAC.
  • There is also a clear distinction that PLA will do border management but it will make negotiations a little more difficult.

 

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Citizenship and Related Issues

What is National Population Register?

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: National Population Register

Mains level: NPR, NRC, Census

The latest form of the National Population Register (NPR) appears to have retained contentious questions such as “mother tongue, place of birth of father and mother and last place of residence”.

National Population Register

  • The NPR is a Register of usual residents of the country.
  • It is being prepared at the local (Village/sub-Town), sub-District, District, State and National level.
  • This is carried under provisions of the Citizenship Act 1955 and the Citizenship (Registration of Citizens and issue of National Identity Cards) Rules, 2003.
  • It is mandatory for every usual resident of India to register in the NPR.
  • A usual resident is defined for the purposes of NPR as a person who has resided in a local area for the past 6 months or more or a person who intends to reside in that area for the next 6 months or more.

Why NPR is under fire?

  • Though NPR was first compiled in 2010 and updated in 2015, the new questions were part of a trial exercise involving 30 lakh respondents in September 2019.
  • The exercise has perceived the first step toward the compilation of the National Register of Indian Citizens (NRC) according to Citizenship Rules, 2003.

Questions in NPR

  • In 2020 NPR, the respondent will have to specify the “name of State and district” if the place of birth of father and mother is in India and mention the country’s name if not born here.
  • The form will collect details on 14 parameters of all family members.
  • The sub-heads include passport number, relationship to head of the family, whether divorced/widowed or separated, mother tongue, if non-worker, cultivator, labourer, government employee, daily wage earner among others.
  • The form also has a column on Aadhar, mobile phone, Voter ID and driving license number, which are to be provided if available with the respondent.

How are NRIC and NPR related?

  • Out of the NPR, a set of all usual residents of India, the government proposes to create a database of “citizens of India”.
  • Thus, the “National Register of Indian Citizens” (NRIC) is a sub-set of the NPR.
  • The NRIC will be prepared at the local, sub-district, district and State levels after verifying the citizenship status of the residents.
  • The rules say the particulars of every family and individual found in the Population Register shall be verified and scrutinized by the Local Registrar.

How NPR is different from Census?

  • The census involves a detailed questionnaire — there were 29 items to be filled up in the 2011 census.
  • They are aimed at eliciting the particulars of every person, including age, sex, marital status, children, occupation, birthplace, mother tongue, religion, disability and whether they belonged to any SC or ST.
  • On the other hand, the NPR collects basic demographic data and biometric particulars.
  • While the census is legally backed by the Census Act, 1948, the NPR is a mechanism outlined in a set of rules framed under the Citizenship Act, 1955.

 

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Tribes in News

Meghalaya to give land rights to men

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Khasi Tribe, khatduh

Mains level: Matrilineal society in NE

Matrilineal Meghalaya is set to break the tradition of share of parental property to the khatduh, which means the youngest daughter in the Khasi language.

Matrilineal Society of Meghalaya

  • The matrilineal tradition which the Khasi and other subgroups practice in Meghalaya is unique within India.
  • Khasi are an ancient tribe said to be the largest surviving matrilineal culture in the world.
  • Matrilineal principles among the Khasi are emphasised in myths, legends, and origin narratives.

Their evolution

  • Khasi kings embarking on wars left the responsibility of running the family to women and thus their role in society became very deep rooted and respected.
  • Reference to Nari Rajya (female kingdom; or land of matriarchy) in the epic Mahabharata likely correlates with the Khasi and Jaintia Hills and Meghalaya’s present-day matrilineal culture.

Property rights

  • The youngest daughter of the family, the Ka Khadduh, inherits all ancestral property.
  • After marriage, husbands live in the mother-in-law’s home.
  • The mother’s surname is taken by children.
  • When no daughters are born to a couple, they adopt a daughter and pass their rights to property to her.
  • The birth of a girl is celebrated while the birth of a son is simply accepted.
  • There is no social stigma attributed to a woman remarrying or giving birth out of wedlock as the “Khasi Social Custom Lineage Act” gives security to them.
  • Care of children is the responsibility of mothers or mothers-in-law.

Matrilineal, not matriarchal

  • While society is matrilineal, it is not matriarchal. In past monarchies of the state, the son of the youngest sister of the king inherited the throne.
  • Even now in the Meghalaya Legislative Assembly or village councils or panchayats the representation of women in politics is minimal.

Issues with the system

  • Some Khasi men perceive themselves to be accorded a secondary status.
  • They have established societies to protect equal rights for men.
  • They express that Khasi men don’t have any security, they don’t own land, they don’t run the family business and, at the same time, they are almost good for nothing.

 

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Forest Conservation Efforts – NFP, Western Ghats, etc.

Podu Land issue in Telangana

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Podu, Shifting cultivation

Mains level: Not Much

The Telangana government has decided to move landless, non-tribal farmers engaged in Podu shifting cultivation inside forests to peripheral areas as it looks to combat deforestation.

What is Shifting Cultivation?

  • Shifting cultivation is a form of agriculture or a cultivation system, in which, at any particular point in time, a minority of ‘fields’ are in cultivation and a majority are in various stages of natural re-growth.
  • Over time, fields are cultivated for a relatively short time, and allowed to recover, or are fallowed, for a relatively long time.
  • Eventually, a previously cultivated field will be cleared of the natural vegetation and planted in crops again.
  • Fields in established and stable shifting cultivation systems are cultivated and fallowed cyclically.
  • This type of farming is also called jhumming in India.

What is Podu?

  • Podu is a traditional system of cultivation used by tribes in India, whereby different areas of jungle forest are cleared by burning each year to provide land for crops.
  • The word comes from the Telugu language.
  • Podu is a form of shifting agriculture using slash-and-burn methods.

Issue in Telangana

  • Shifting cultivation continues to be a predominant agricultural practice in many parts of India, despite state discouragement and multipronged efforts.
  • Telangana government has red-flagged encroachment of forests by non-tribals, who are indulging in the practice of shifting agriculture (podu).
  • Several political leaders have raised the issues of shifting agriculture and deforestation wherein encroachers clear a portion of land.
  • The government now wants to shift out all farmers from the forests to the periphery by allotting lands to them for cultivation.

Impact of the move

  • Tribal farmers who have been traditionally cultivating for decades will not be affected by this drive against illegal encroachers.
  • The government has, in fact, given land ownership titles to tribals.
  • Other encroaching farmers will be shifted out.

Back2Basics: Various shifting cultivation in India

Type Place of practice
Jhum North-eastern India
Vevar and Dahiyaar Bundelkhand Region (Madhya Pradesh)
Deepa Bastar District (Madhya Pradesh)
Zara and Erka Southern States
Batra South-eastern Rajasthan
Podu Andhra Pradesh
Kumari Hilly Region of the Western Ghats of Kerala
Kaman, Vinga and Dhavi Odisha

 

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Cyber Security – CERTs, Policy, etc

National Cyber Coordination Centre (NCSC)

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: National Cyber Coordination Centre, CERT-IN

Mains level: Cyber security challenges for India

There are cybersecurity organisations in the country but no central body responsible for safety in the online space said the National Cyber Security Coordinator (NCSC).

National Cyber Coordination Centre

Headed by National Cyber Security Coordinator:  Lt. Gen. Rajesh Pant (Retd.)

Objective: To help the country deal with malicious cyber-activities by acting as an Internet traffic monitoring entity that can fend off domestic or international attacks

  • The National Cyber Coordination Centre (NCCC) is an operational cybersecurity and e-surveillance agency in India.
  • It is jurisdictionally under the Ministry of Home Affairs.
  • It coordinates with multiple security and surveillance agencies as well as with CERT-In of the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology.
  • Components of the NCCC include a cybercrime prevention strategy, cybercrime investigation training and review of outdated laws.

Functions

  • It will be India’s first layer for cyber threat monitoring and all communication with government and private service providers would be through this body only.
  • The NCCC will be in virtual contact with the control room of all ISPs to scan traffic within the country, flowing at the point of entry and exit, including the international gateway.

Cyber-security bottlenecks in India

  • India has no dedicated Cyber-security regulation and is also not well prepared to deal with cyberwarfare.
  • India has formulated the National Cyber Security Policy 2013 which is not yet implemented.
  • NCCC has been classified to be a project of the Indian government without a legal framework, which may be counterproductive as it may violate civil liberties and human rights.
  • Some have expressed concern that the NCCC could encroach on Indian citizens’ privacy and civil liberties, given the lack of explicit privacy laws in the country.

Back2Basics: Indian Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT-IN)

  • CERT-IN is an office within the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology.
  • It is the nodal agency to deal with cyber security threats like hacking and phishing. It strengthens the security-related defence of the Indian Internet domain.
  • It was formed in 2004 by the Government of India under the Information Technology Act, 2000 Section (70B) under the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology.

 

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-China

A ‘bubbles of trust’ approach to globalisation

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Emerging Technology Working Group

Mains level: Paper 2- Bubble of trust approach to globalisation

Context

An asymmetric globalisation favouring China allowed Beijing to attain power. It is now using that power to undermine liberal democratic values around the world.

What is Globalization?

Globalization is a process of increasing interdependence, interconnectedness and integration of economies and societies to such an extent that an event in one part of the globe affects people in other parts of the world.

OR

 Globalization is a process of interaction and integration among the people, organizations, and governments of different nations, a process driven by international trade and investment and aided by information technology.

Asymmetric globalisation

  • The Chinese market was never open to foreign companies in the way foreign markets are to Chinese firms.
  • This is particularly true in the information and communications technology sector: foreign media, technology and software companies have always been walled out of Chinese markets.
  • Meanwhile, Chinese firms rode on the globalisation bandwagon to secure significant market shares in open economies.

Global retreat from globalisation and role of Quad

  • We are currently witnessing a global retreat from the free movement of goods, services, capital, people and ideas.
  • But this should not be understood as a reaction to globalisation itself, but of its skewed pattern over the past four decades.
  • The Quad countries – Japan, India, Australia and the U.S. – have an opportunity to change tack and stop seeing engagement with China through the misleading prism of free trade and globalisation.
  • It will be to their advantage to create a new form of economic cooperation consistent with their geopolitical interests.
  • Indeed, without an economic programme, the Quad’s geopolitical and security agenda stand on tenuous foundations.

Economies inside bubbles of trust

  • Policies of self-reliance: The popular backlash against China – exacerbated by the economic disruption of the pandemic – is pushing Quad governments towards policies of self-reliance.
  • But while reorienting and de-risking global supply chains is one thing, pursuing technological sovereignty is inherently self-defeating.
  • Worse still, inward-looking policies often acquire a life of their own and contribute to geopolitical marginalisation.
  • There is a better way.
  • A convergence of values and geopolitical interests means Quad countries are uniquely placed to envelop their economies inside bubbles of trust, starting with the technology sector.
  • The idea of ‘bubbles of trust’ offers a cautious middle path between the extremes of technological sovereignty and laissez-faire globalisation.
  •  Unlike trading blocs, which tend to be insular and exclusive, bubbles tend to expand organically, attracting new partners that share values, interests and economic complementarities.
  • Such expansion will be necessary, as the Quad cannot fulfil its strategic ambitions merely by holding a defensive line against authoritarian power.

Way forward

  • The U.S. is a global leader in intellectual property, Japan in high-value manufacturing, Australia in advanced niches such as quantum computing and cyber security, and India in human capital.
  • This configuration of values, interests and complementary capabilities offers unrivalled opportunities.
  • The Quad’s Critical and Emerging Technology Working Group, announced in March 2021, is well placed to develop the necessary ‘bubbles of trust’ framework, which could be adopted at the next Quad summit.
  • To be successful the Working Group must seek to strengthen geopolitical convergences, increase faith in each member state’s judicial systems, deepen economic ties and boost trust in one another’s citizens.
  • There are fundamental differences between authoritarian and liberal-democratic approaches to the information age.
  • The Quad cannot allow differences of approach on privacy, data governance, platform competition and the digital economy to widen.

Conclusion

This agenda cannot be about substituting China. Rather, the approach would allow Quad countries to manage their dependencies on China while simultaneously developing a new vision for the global economy.

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Foreign Policy Watch- India-Central Asia

India’s Central Asian outreach

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: The Ashgabat Agreement,

Mains level: Paper 2- India's central Indian outreach

Context

The evolving situation in Afghanistan has thrown up renewed challenges for India’s regional and bilateral ties with Central Asia and the Caucasus, prompting India to recalibrate its rules of engagement with the region.

Background of India’s relations with Central Asian countries

  • After the breakup of the Soviet Union and the formation of the independent republics in Central Asia, India reset its ties with the strategically critical region.
  • India provided financial aid to the region and established diplomatic relations.
  • New Delhi signed the Strategic Partnership Agreements (SPA) with Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan to stimulate defence cooperation and deepen trade relations.
  • In 2012, New Delhi’s ‘Connect Central Asia’ policy aimed at furthering India’s political, economic, historical and cultural connections with the region.
  • However, India’s efforts were stonewalled by Pakistan’s lack of willingness to allow India passage through its territory.

Renewed engagement with Central Asia

  • The growing geostrategic and security concerns regarding the BRI’s China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and its violation of India’s sovereignty forced New Delhi to fix its lethargic strategy.
  • Eventually, Central Asia became the link that placed Eurasia in New Delhi’s zone of interest.
  • India signed MoUs with Iran in 2015 to develop the Chabahar port in the Sistan-Baluchistan province that was in the doldrums from 2003.
  • External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar was in the region earlier this month.
  • In Kyrgyzstan, Mr. Jaishankar extended a credit line of $200 million for the support of development projects and signed an memorandum of understanding (MoU) on High-Impact Community Development Projects (HICDP).
  • Kazakhstan: His next stop was the Kazakhstan capital, Nur Sultan, where he attended the 6th Foreign Ministers’ Conference on Interaction and Confidence-Building Measures in Asia (CICA).
  • Armenia: Mr. Jaishankar has become the first Indian External Affairs Minister to visit Armenia.
  •  During the visit, Mr. Jaishankar also supported efforts for a peaceful solution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia under the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe’s (OSCE) Minsk group.

Limits of SCO

  • The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) was created in response to the threats of terrorism that sprang from Afghanistan.
  • The Taliban re-establishing its supremacy over Afghanistan has also exposed the weaknesses of coalitions such as SCO.
  • The SCO has been used by most member countries for their own regional geostrategic and security interests, increasing the trust-deficit and divergence within the forum.

Way forward

  • Most of the Central Asian leaders view India’s Chabahar port as an opportunity to diversify their export markets and control China’s ambitions.
  • They have admitted New Delhi into the Ashgabat Agreement, allowing India access to connectivity networks to facilitate trade and commercial interactions with both Central Asia and Eurasia, and also access the natural resources of the region.
  • Rising anti-Chinese sentiments within the region and security threats from the Taliban allow New Delhi and Central Asia to reimagine their engagement.
  • Central Asian countries have been keen to have India as a partner as they have sought to diversify their strategic ties.

Conclusion

India cannot afford to lose any time in recalibrating its regional engagements.

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Foreign Policy Watch: India-Pakistan

Crises in Pakistan is an occasion to reflect on the long-term regional consequences

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Not much

Mains level: Paper 2- Crises in Pakistan and India's approach towards it

Context

Whether it can or should make a difference to Pakistan’s internal politics, India must pay greater attention to the internal dynamics of our most difficult neighbour and more purposefully engage a diverse set of actors in that polity.

India’s interventions in internal affairs of neighbours

  • Except for Pakistan, in most other countries of the subcontinent, India is drawn quickly into their internal political arguments.
  • Delhi has always exercised some influence on the outcomes of those contestations.
  • It is enough to note that India’s interventions are a recurring pattern in the subcontinent’s international relations.
  • Even when Delhi is reluctant to get into the weeds of these conflicts, the competing parties in the neighbourhood demand India’s intervention on their behalf.
  • All of the contestants, of course, resolutely oppose India’s meddling when it goes against them.
  • But Delhi has rarely been a decisive player in Pakistan’s internal politics.
  • Delhi’s hands-off attitude is surprising, given India’s huge stakes in the nature of Pakistan’s policies and their massive impact on regional security.

Current crises in Pakistan

  • Internal crises: Among the many challenges confronting Pakistan is the fresh breakdown in civil-military relations.
  • Pakistan’s economy is in a tailspin as it struggles to negotiate a stabilisation package with the International Monetary Fund.
  • The militant religious movement Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP) has mounted a fresh march against the capital demanding the release of its arrested leader.
  • External crises: The internal crises are sharpened by worsening external conditions.
  • In Afghanistan, Pakistan has succeeded in restoring the Taliban to power.
  • The celebrations have not lasted too long; the long-awaited victory is turning sour.
  • The Arab Gulf states that have been fast friends of Pakistan are now tilting towards India.
  • Once a favourite partner of the West, Pakistan today faces tensions in its ties with the US and Europe.
  • More broadly, nuclear weapons and a powerful army seem unable to stop Pakistan’s relative decline in relation to not just India but also Bangladesh.
  • Pakistan’s economy is now 10 times smaller than that of India and is well behind Bangladesh.

Suggestions

  • Whether it can or should make a difference to Pakistan’s internal politics, India must pay greater attention to the internal dynamics of our most difficult neighbour and more purposefully engage a diverse set of actors in that polity.
  • For Delhi, it is always about narrow political arguments with Rawalpindi and Islamabad; it is as if the people of Pakistan do not exist.
  • For India, the crises in Pakistan should be an occasion to reflect on the long-term regional consequences of Pakistan’s internal turbulence.
  • It might be argued that that unlike elsewhere in the neighbourhood, Delhi’s leverage in Pakistan’s politics is limited. But it is by no means negligible.

Consider the question “For Delhi, it is always about narrow political arguments with Rawalpindi and Islamabad; it is as if the people of Pakistan do not exist. The depth of the current crises in Pakistan, however, should nudge India into overcoming this entrenched indifference. Comment.”

Conclusion

India looms so large in Pakistan’s mind space. For Delhi, it may be worth trying to turn that into influence over Pakistan’s policies if only at the tactical level and at the margins.

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