Health Sector – UHC, National Health Policy, Family Planning, Health Insurance, etc.

Proposed Health Tax on Sugar and High-Calorie Foods in India

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Health Tax

Mains level: Read the attached story

Central Idea

  • Public health researchers recommend a health tax of 20% to 30% on sugar, sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), and high-fat, salt, and sugar (HFSS) products, in addition to the existing GST.
  • The recommendation stems from a UNICEF-funded project, aiming to influence policies to reduce sugar consumption.

Study Insights and Recommendations

  • Targeting Bulk Consumers: The study suggests taxing bulk consumers like confectionery manufacturers, rather than household sugar purchases.
  • Definition of Sugar: The study includes all forms of refined, unrefined sugar, and gur (brown cane sugar) used by manufacturers.
  • Impact on Manufacturers: Manufacturers, who buy up to 55% of India’s annual sugar production, are expected to be more price-sensitive than households.

Tax Implications and Demand Reduction

  • Niti Aayog’s Interest: Niti Aayog is exploring the impact of health taxes and warning labels on food products to promote healthy eating in India.
  • Current and Proposed Tax Rates: Sugar is currently taxed at 18% GST. The proposed additional tax could raise the total tax to 38-48%.
  • Price Elasticity Metric: The study uses ‘Price Elasticity’ to estimate demand reduction. A 10% price increase could lead to a 2% demand reduction for households and a 13-18% reduction for manufacturers.
  • Health Tax on Beverages and HFSS Products: A 10-30% health tax on SSBs could decrease demand by 7-30%, while a similar tax on HFSS products might lead to a 5-24% decline.

Government Revenue and Public Health Impact

  • Increase in Tax Revenues: Additional taxes could boost government revenues by 12-200% across different scenarios.
  • Current Tax Rates on Products: Sugar attracts 18% GST, SSBs 28% GST plus 12% cess, and HFSS products 12% GST.
  • Public Health Benefits: Higher taxes on unhealthy foods could reduce obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and certain cancers.

India’s Sugar Consumption and Health Risks

  • India’s Sugar Intake: India is the world’s largest sugar consumer, with an average consumption of 25 kg per person per year, exceeding WHO recommendations.
  • Rise in Sugar-Related Health Issues: There has been a significant increase in the sale of aerated drinks and HFSS food products, contributing to obesity and diabetes.

Taxation and Reformulation

  • Encouraging Product Reformulation: The proposed tax rate is linked to sugar volume, encouraging manufacturers to reduce sugar content in products.
  • Taxing Sugar Replacements: The study also recommends taxing artificial sweeteners to prevent manufacturers from switching to cheaper, unhealthy alternatives.

Global Precedents and Outcomes

  • Health Tax Implementation Worldwide: Over 70 countries, including Mexico, Chile, and South Africa, have implemented health taxes on sugar and related products.
  • Positive Outcomes in Mexico: In Mexico, the taxation on SSBs led to decreased consumption of taxed beverages and a reduction in mean BMI among younger age groups.

Conclusion

  • Potential for Health Improvement: Imposing a health tax on sugar and related products could significantly contribute to public health improvement in India.
  • Consideration of Economic Factors: The success of such a policy will depend on balancing health benefits with economic impacts on consumers and manufacturers.

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Finance Commission – Issues related to devolution of resources

Arvind Panagariya appointed as Sixteenth Finance Commission chief

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Finance Commission

Mains level: Read the attached story

Central Idea

  • The Centre has appointed Arvind Panagariya, a renowned trade economist and former Niti Aayog vice chairman, as the chairman of the Sixteenth Finance Commission.

Who is Arvind Panagariya?

  • Panagariya is a professor at Columbia University.
  • He served as the first vice chairman of the Niti Aayog from 2015 to 2017, succeeding the Planning Commission.

About Finance Commission

  • Establishment: The Finance Commission (FC) of India was established by the President in 1951 under Article 280 of the Indian Constitution.
  • Purpose: Its primary role is to define and regulate the financial relations between the central government and the individual state governments.
  • Legislative Framework: The Finance Commission (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act, 1951, further outlines the qualifications, appointment, disqualification, term, eligibility, and powers of the Finance Commission.
  • Composition: Appointed every five years, the FC comprises a chairman and four other members.
  • Evolution: Since the First FC, changes in India’s macroeconomic landscape have significantly influenced the Commission’s recommendations.

Constitutional Provisions

  • Article 268: Facilitates the levy of duties by the Centre, with collection and retention by the States.
  • Article 280: Outlines the FC’s composition, qualifications for members, and its terms of reference. It mandates the FC to recommend the distribution of net tax proceeds between the Union and States and the allocation among States. It also addresses the financial relations between the Union and States and the devolution of unplanned revenue resources.

Key Functions of the Finance Commission

  • Tax Devolution: Recommends how net tax proceeds should be distributed between the Center and States.
  • Grants-in-Aid: Determines the principles governing these grants to States.
  • Augmenting State Funds: Advises on measures to enhance the States’ Consolidated Funds to support local bodies and panchayats, based on State Finance Commissions’ recommendations.
  • Other Financial Functions: Addresses any other financial matters referred by the President.

Members of the Finance Commission

  • Structure and Standards: The Finance Commission (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act, 1951, provides a structured format and global standards for the FC.
  • Qualifications and Powers: Specifies rules for members’ qualifications, disqualification, appointment, term, eligibility, and powers.
  • Composition: The Chairman is chosen for their experience in public affairs. The other members are selected based on their judicial experience, knowledge of government finances, administrative and financial expertise, or special economic knowledge.

Challenges for the 16th Finance Commission

  • Overlap with GST Council: The coexistence with the GST Council, a permanent constitutional body, presents a new challenge.
  • Conflict of Interest: Decisions by the GST Council on tax rates could impact the FC’s revenue-sharing calculations.
  • Feasibility of Recommendations: While the Centre often adopts the FC’s suggestions on tax devolution and fiscal targets, other recommendations may be overlooked.

Major Outstanding Recommendations

  • Fiscal Council Creation: The 15th FC proposed a Fiscal Council for collective macro-fiscal management, but the government has shown reluctance.
  • Non-Lapsable Fund for Internal Security: Though the Centre agreed ‘in principle’ to establish this fund, its implementation details are pending.

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Industrial Sector Updates – Industrial Policy, Ease of Doing Business, etc.

Analyzing the Slowdown in India’s Core Sector

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Core Sector

Mains level: Read the attached story

Central Idea

  • India’s eight core sectors experienced a significant slowdown, growing by 7.8% in November, down from 12% in October.

About Core Industries in India

  • The main or key industries constitute the core sectors of an economy.
  • In India, eight sectors are considered the core sectors.
  • These sectors are in decreasing order of their weightage: Refinery Products> Electricity> Steel> Coal> Crude Oil> Natural Gas> Cement> Fertilizers.

About Index of Eight Core Industries

  • The monthly Index of Eight Core Industries (ICI) is a production volume index.
  • ICI measures the collective and individual performance of production in selected eight core industries viz. Coal, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refinery Products, Fertilizers, Steel, Cement and Electricity.
  • Before the 2004-05 series six core industries namely Coal, Cement, Finished Steel, Electricity, Crude petroleum and Refinery products constituted the index basket.
  • Two more industries i.e. Fertilizer and Natural Gas were added to the index basket in the 2004-05 series. The ICI series with base 2011-12 will continue to have eight core industries.

The components covered in these eight industries for compilation of the index are as follows:

  1. Coal – Coal Production excluding Coking coal.
  2. Crude Oil – Total Crude Oil Production.
  3. Natural Gas – Total Natural Gas Production.
  4. Refinery Products – Total Refinery Production (in terms of Crude Throughput).
  5. Fertilizer – Urea, Ammonium Sulphate (A/S), Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN), Ammonium chloride (A/C), Diammonium Phosphate (DAP), Complex Grade Fertilizer and Single superphosphate (SSP).
  6. Steel – Production of Alloy and Non-Alloy Steel only.
  7. Cement – Production of Large Plants and Mini Plants.
  8. Electricity – Actual Electricity Generation of Thermal, Nuclear, Hydro, imports from Bhutan.

Recent data: Sector-Wise Growth Details

  • Decline in ICI: The ICI witnessed a 3.34% drop from October, marking its lowest since March 2023.
  • Sector-Specific Trends: Notably, only refinery products and coal showed month-on-month growth, with significant year-on-year increases.
  • Steel Production: Growth in steel production hit a 13-month low at 9.1%.
  • Crude Oil and Fertilizer: Crude oil saw a contraction, while fertilizer production growth decelerated.
  • Natural Gas and Electricity: Both natural gas output and electricity generation growth slowed down considerably in November.

Comparative Analysis with Previous Year

  • Year-on-Year Comparison: The core sectors had a 5.7% growth in November 2022.
  • Influence of Base Effects: Last year’s high growth in certain sectors like cement significantly influenced this year’s comparative figures.

Economic Insights and Projections

  • Bank of Baroda’s Perspective: The slowdown in fertilizer growth aligns with the end of the rabi sowing season, as per the bank’s chief economist.
  • IIP Forecast: The core sectors are expected to contribute to an IIP growth of 7%-8%.
  • Economists’ View: Experts predict a continued slowdown in core sector growth due to strong base effects from the previous fiscal year.

Future Expectations and Challenges

  • India Ratings and Research Predictions: A slowdown in core sector growth is anticipated in the coming months, influenced by the strong base effect.
  • Broader Economic Impact: This slowdown is indicative of larger economic challenges, potentially affecting future policy and market expectations.

Conclusion

  • Economic Resilience Test: The trends in India’s core sectors underscore the challenges in sustaining growth amid diverse economic conditions.
  • Need for Strategic Economic Planning: Addressing these slowdowns will require astute economic planning and possibly new strategies to boost growth in these key sectors.

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Labour, Jobs and Employment – Harmonization of labour laws, gender gap, unemployment, etc.

Youth Unemployment in India: A Persistent Challenge

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: NA

Mains level: Unemployment in India

Central Idea

  • In 1932, M Visvesvaraya highlighted the issue of unemployment among educated individuals in India.
  • Ninety years later, the issue of youth unemployment remains a significant concern, despite official data indicating a decrease in the overall unemployment rate.

Unemployment Trends: Data Analysis

  • Official Statistics: According to the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS), the unemployment rate decreased from 6.1% in 2017-18 to 3.2% in 2022-23.
  • Disparities in Experience: Despite the overall reduction, young, highly educated workers face the highest unemployment rates, indicating a structural problem in the Indian economy.

Educational Attainment and Unemployment

  • Higher Education and Unemployment: Individuals with higher education have consistently faced higher unemployment rates since the 1990s.
  • Trends Over Time: Unemployment rates for graduates have fluctuated, reaching 17% in 2017-18 and then dropping to 13% in 2022-23.

Youth Unemployment

  • Young Graduates: The unemployment rate for young workers (aged 18 to 29) with graduate degrees has been notably high, with significant long-term unemployment spells.
  • Increasing Share of Graduates: The proportion of graduates in the labor force has risen from 5% in 1993-94 to around 15% in 2022-23, impacting overall unemployment rates.

Challenges and Implications

  • Growing Concern: The increasing share of educated workers in the labor force, coupled with high unemployment rates among them, points to a deepening problem.
  • Need for Analysis: Understanding the causes of unemployment among the highly educated is crucial, whether it’s the education system’s failure to impart relevant skills or the economy’s inability to create sufficient jobs.

Conclusion

  • Serious Issue: Youth unemployment in India is a critical issue that needs comprehensive analysis and action.
  • Harnessing Demographic Dividend: Effective measures are required to ensure that the aspirations of the youth are met and the potential of India’s demographic dividend is fully realized.
  • Policy Focus: Addressing youth unemployment requires targeted policies that focus on skill development, job creation, and aligning education with market needs.

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Economic Indicators and Various Reports On It- GDP, FD, EODB, WIR etc

Century of Change in Indian Villages: Insights from Longitudinal Studies

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Longitudinal Studies

Mains level: Read the attached story

Central Idea

  • Historical Surveys: Starting in 1916-17, Gilbert Slater initiated a series of surveys in five Tamil Nadu villages, marking the beginning of a century-long study of rural India.
  • Unique Village Studies: Palakurichi and Palanpur stand out as unique Indian villages extensively studied over a century and decades, respectively.

Methodology and Evolution of Village Studies

  • Initial Approach: Slater’s students, natives of the surveyed villages, used questionnaires to understand the socioeconomic conditions of rural households.
  • Subsequent Surveys: These villages were revisited for studies in subsequent years, including 1936-37, 1964, 1983, 2004, and 2019, providing a longitudinal perspective.

Significance of Longitudinal Studies

  • Contrast with Cross-Sectional Surveys: Unlike the National Sample Survey Office’s cross-sectional surveys, village studies are longitudinal, focusing on in-depth analysis over time.
  • Objective: The aim is to trace changes in the specific village over time, providing micro-level insights that complement macro-level data.

Key Findings from Recent Surveys

  • Economic Shifts: The 2019 survey of Palakurichi revealed a decline in agriculture’s dominance, with only 43.3% of the workforce engaged in farming, down from 85% in 1983.
  • Diversification of Workforce: Similar trends were observed in Palanpur, with a significant shift from agriculture to non-farm jobs over the decades.

Changing Social Dynamics

  • Diminished Dominance of Traditional Landholders: In both Palakurichi and Palanpur, traditional upper caste landholders’ power has declined, with middle castes and Dalits gaining more land ownership.
  • Economic and Social Mobility: These changes reflect broader social and economic mobility within these rural communities.

Policy Implications and Challenges

  • Land Leasing Practices: As some communities move away from agriculture, land leasing becomes common, often based on oral agreements to avoid legal complications.
  • Need for Policy Reforms: There’s a need for policies that balance the interests of landowners and tenant farmers, encouraging investment in land improvement.
  • Sustaining Agricultural Productivity: With rural India becoming less dependent on agriculture, ensuring continued or improved farming practices on existing agricultural lands is crucial.

Conclusion

  • Insights from Micro-Level Studies: Longitudinal village studies offer valuable insights into the patterns of change in rural India, informing policy and understanding of rural dynamics.
  • Balancing Agricultural and Non-Agricultural Growth: These studies highlight the need for balanced development policies that support both agricultural sustainability and non-farm employment opportunities.

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Roads, Highways, Cargo, Air-Cargo and Logistics infrastructure – Bharatmala, LEEP, SetuBharatam, etc.

Logistics Ease Across Different States (LEADS) Report, 2023

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: LEADS Report

Mains level: Not Much

Central Idea

  • The govt has released the LEADS (Logistics Ease across Different States) 2023 report, assessing logistics performance across Indian States and Union Territories (UTs).
  • The report includes 11 States and two UTs, encompassing coastal, landlocked, North Eastern States, and UTs.

About LEADS Report

  • The LEADS index was launched in 2018 by the Commerce and Industry Ministry and Deloitte.
  • It was inspired by the Logistics Performance Index (LPI) of World Bank, and has evolved over time.
  • It ranks states on the score of their logistics services and efficiency that are indicative of economic growth.
  • States are ranked based on quality and capacity of key infrastructure such as road, rail and warehousing as well as on operational ease of logistics.

Key Highlights of the 2023 Report

  • ‘Achievers’ Category: States like Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Haryana, Punjab, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, Assam, Sikkim, Tripura, and UTs Chandigarh, Delhi are named as ‘Achievers’.
  • Category Shifts: Maharashtra moved from ‘Achievers’ to ‘Fast Movers’, while Odisha shifted from ‘Achievers’ to ‘Aspirers’.
  • ‘Fast Movers’: Kerala and Maharashtra among coastal States, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand among land-locked States, and Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland among North Eastern States are ‘Fast Movers’.
  • ‘Aspirers’: Goa, Odisha, West Bengal, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, and UTs like Daman & Diu/Dadra & Nagar Haveli, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh are categorized as ‘Aspirers’.

Policy perspectives

  • Digital Initiatives: Digital reforms like PM GatiShakti, Logistics Data Bank, ULIP, and GST are driving India’s improved global ranking.
  • India’s Improved LPI Rank: India’s LPI rank improved by six places to 38th position in 2023, reflecting the positive impact of these efforts.
  • Vision for Logistics Sector: India’s logistics sector is set to grow from a $3.5 trillion to $35 trillion economy by 2047.

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Women Safety Issues – Marital Rape, Domestic Violence, Swadhar, Nirbhaya Fund, etc.

Are Crimes against Women on the Rise?

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: NA

Mains level: Crimes against Women

Central Idea

  • Despite a decline in overall crime rate in 2022, the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) report highlights a 4% rise in crimes against women.
  • The crime rate dropped to 258.1 per lakh population in 2022 from 268 per lakh in 2021, but crimes against women increased.

Nature of Crimes Against Women

  • Major Categories: The majority of crimes included:
  1. Cruelty by husband or relatives (31.4%),
  2. Kidnapping and abduction (19.2%),
  3. Assault with intent to outrage modesty (18.7%), and
  4. Rape (7.1%).
  • Dowry Prohibition Act: 13,479 cases were registered under this act.

Societal and Legal Perspectives

  • Patriarchal Society: Activists and lawyers attribute the rise to deep-rooted patriarchal mind-sets in Indian society.
  • Legal Framework: Key laws for women’s safety include The Immoral Traffic (Prevention) Act, The Dowry Prohibition Act, The Commission of Sati (Prevention) Act, Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act, and others.
  • Implementation Challenges: Despite strong laws, their effective implementation remains a challenge.

Interpretation of Increased Crime Registration

  • NCRB Report Findings: Over 4.45 lakh cases of crimes against women were registered in 2022, indicating a high rate of 66.4 crimes per lakh population.
  • Charge Sheet Filing Rate: The rate of filing charge sheets in such cases was 75.8%.
  • Views on Increased Registration: Some experts view the rise as indicative of women’s increased confidence in approaching police, while others see it as a reflection of persistent inequality and societal attitudes.

Regional Variations in Crime Registration

  • Delhi’s High Crime Rate: With 14,247 cases, Delhi recorded the highest rate of crimes against women at 144.4 per lakh.
  • Contrast with Other Regions: In many parts of India, especially rural areas, crime registration is low, and fear of police is high.

Challenges in Law Enforcement and Judiciary

  • Policing Issues: There is a lack of trained police officers for investigations, leading to poor charge sheet preparation.
  • Judicial Delays: Cases take years in trial courts, with appeals extending the duration further.
  • Fast-Track Courts: Despite their existence, fast-track courts for grievous crimes are as slow as regular courts.

Representation of Women in Police Force

  • Low Proportion: Women police officers’ representation in the force is low, leading to disproportionate workloads and slower charge sheeting and convictions.
  • Ministry of Home Affairs Data: As of January 1, 2022, women constituted only 11.7% of the total state police force.

Conclusion

  • Need for Strong Political Will: Effective policies and programs are required to elevate women’s status and address the root causes of gender-based violence.
  • Improving Law Enforcement and Judiciary: Enhancing police training, increasing women’s representation in the force, and expediting judicial processes are crucial steps.

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Panchayati Raj Institutions: Issues and Challenges

[pib] Panchayat Development Index (PDI)

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Panchayat Development Index (PDI)

Mains level: Not Much

Central Idea

  • The Ministry of Panchayati Raj is leading the effort to localize Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as part of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.
  • A report on the Panchayat Development Index (PDI) has been released to evaluate the progress of grassroots institutions in achieving Localized SDGs (LSDGs).

About Panchayat Development Index (PDI)

  • PDI is a comprehensive, multi-domain, and multi-sectoral index designed to assess the holistic development, performance, and progress of panchayats.
  • It incorporates various socio-economic indicators to measure the well-being and development status of local communities under a panchayat’s jurisdiction.
  • PDI is crucial for evaluating performance and tracking progress in the localization of Sustainable Development Goals in rural areas.
  • The Index is based on a framework of local indicators encompassing nine themes related to sustainable development in villages.

Nine Themes of PDI

  1. Poverty-Free and Enhanced Livelihood in Village
  2. Healthy Village
  3. Child-Friendly Village
  4. Water-Sufficient Village
  5. Clean and Green Village
  6. Village with Self-Sufficient Infrastructure
  7. Socially Just and Secured Villages
  8. Village with Good Governance
  9. Women-Friendly Village

Ranking and Grading System

Panchayats are ranked based on their scores and categorized into four grades:

  1. Grade A+: Scores above 90%
  2. Grade A: Scores between 75-90%
  3. Grade B: Scores between 60-75%
  4. Grade C: Scores between 40-60%
  5. Grade D: Scores under 40%

Significance of the Panchayat Development Index

  • Insightful Analysis: PDI provides critical insights into areas needing improvement in rural jurisdictions.
  • Identifying Disparities: It helps in pinpointing disparities and the achievement of development goals.
  • Policy Formulation: The Index aids in creating targeted policies and interventions to enhance the well-being and quality of life in rural communities.

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Police Reforms – SC directives, NPC, other committees reports

How to read the NCRB 2022 Report on Crime in India?

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB)

Mains level: Crime in India

Central Idea

Background of NCRB Reports

  • Origin: The National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) was established in January 1986 under the Union Ministry of Home Affairs.
  • Purpose: NCRB’s primary role is to compile and maintain national crime statistics, acting as a central repository for criminal data.
  • Scope: The reports encompass a wide range of criminal activities, including crimes against women, cybercrimes, economic offenses, and more.

Data Compilation Process

  • Sources: Data is sourced from police forces of 36 states and Union Territories, and 53 cities with populations over 10 lakh as per the 2011 Census.
  • Validation: Information recorded at local police stations undergoes validation at district and state levels before final verification by the NCRB.

Highlights from the 2022 NCRB Report

  • Overall Crimes: The report registered a total of 58,24,946 cognizable crimes, including 35,61,379 IPC crimes and 22,63,567 Special and Local Laws (SLL) crimes.
  • Crime Rate: A decline in crime rate from 445.9 in 2021 to 422.2 in 2022 per lakh population.
  • Crimes Against Women: There were 4,45,256 cases, marking a 4% increase from 2021.
  • Cyber Crimes: A significant increase of 24.4% from 2021, totaling 65,893 cases.
  • Suicides: An increase of 4.2% in suicides, totaling 1,70,924 cases in 2022.

State-wise Data and Interpretation

  • Chargesheeting Rate: Highest in Kerala (96.0%), Puducherry (91.3%), and West Bengal (90.6%).
  • Interpretation: High chargesheet rates do not necessarily indicate higher crime rates but could reflect more efficient law enforcement.

Challenges and Limitations of NCRB Data

  • Principal Offence Rule: This rule might lead to underreporting of certain types of crimes.
  • Data Accuracy: Local-level inefficiencies or gaps can affect the overall accuracy of the report.
  • Socio-Economic Factors: The report does not capture the deeper socio-economic reasons behind crimes.
  • Underreporting Issues: Fear of police response or societal stigma may lead to underreporting of crimes.

Conclusion

  • Understanding the NCRB report requires recognizing its scope, methodology, and limitations.
  • While it provides crucial insights into crime trends in India, interpreting the data with an awareness of these factors is essential for a comprehensive understanding of the country’s crime dynamics.

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Coal and Mining Sector

National Coal Index (NCI) surges this Month

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: National Coal Index

Mains level: NA

Central Idea

  • In a recent development, the National Coal Index (NCI) saw a substantial rise in September, marking its first increase since April 2023.
  • This surge in the NCI is linked to global coal price fluctuations and holds significant implications for India’s coal sector.

Understanding the National Coal Index (NCI)

  • What is it? The NCI is a price index which reflects the change in the price level of coal on a particular month relative to the fixed base year.
  • Release: It is released every month by the Ministry of Coal.
  • Launch: The NCI was introduced on June 4, 2020, as a tool to monitor coal price fluctuations relative to a fixed base year FY 2017-18.
  • Price Indicator: The NCI serves as a crucial price indicator that combines coal prices from various sources, including notified prices, auction prices, and import prices.
  • Basis for Premiums: It plays a vital role in determining premium rates, either on a per-tonne basis or through revenue sharing, using a market-based approach.

Components of NCI

  • Sub-Indices: NCI comprises five distinct sub-indices, encompassing three for Non-Coking Coal and two for Coking Coal. These sub-indices are amalgamated to derive the final Index for Non-Coking and Coking Coal, making them distinctly separate.
  • Customized Revenue Shares: Based on the coal grade associated with a mine, the relevant sub-index is employed to determine the revenue share.

Factors behind the NCI Surge

  • Global Price Impact: The recent uptick in the NCI is primarily influenced by a temporary rise in global coal prices, which has reverberated in the Indian coal market.
  • Seasonal Demand: With the festive season and winter approaching in India, the demand for coal has risen, prompting coal producers to boost domestic production to meet the growing energy needs.
  • Power Sector Growth: India has experienced a surge in coal demand, particularly from the power sector, driven by increased electricity requirements.
  • Continued Coal Imports: Power plants have continued to import coal as part of the coal blending mandate set by the power ministry.

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Defence Sector – DPP, Missions, Schemes, Security Forces, etc.

India to bring in a National Security Strategy (NSS): What is it, why is it important?

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: NA

Mains level: National Security Strategy

Central Idea

  • India is embarking on a historic journey as it initiates the development of its inaugural National Security Strategy (NSS).
  • The National Security Council Secretariat (NSCS) is actively collecting insights and inputs from diverse Central ministries and departments, laying the foundation for a comprehensive strategy that will play a pivotal role in safeguarding the nation’s interests.

Explained: National Security Strategy

  • Crucial Milestone: India’s NSS represents its first-ever comprehensive document that outlines security objectives and strategies.
  • Periodically Updated: The NSS evolves over time, addressing both traditional and non-traditional threats while fostering accountability among agencies tasked with implementation.
  • Guiding Holistic Security: The NSS will serve as a guiding framework for military, defense, and security reforms, offering a holistic perspective on national security, threats, and strategies to counter them.

Scope and Content of India’s NSS

  • Modern Challenges: The NSS is poised to encompass a broad spectrum of contemporary challenges, including financial and economic security, food and energy security, information warfare, critical information infrastructure vulnerabilities, supply chain concerns, and environmental issues.
  • Comprehensive Approach: It will adopt a comprehensive approach to tackling emerging threats, aligning with India’s evolving security landscape.

Global Precedents

  • Established Nations with NSS: Developed nations with robust military and security infrastructures maintain National Security Strategies, updated periodically. The United States, the United Kingdom, and Russia have published their NSS.
  • China’s Comprehensive National Security: China has a closely integrated Comprehensive National Security strategy, tightly linked to its governance structure.
  • Pakistan’s National Security Policy: Pakistan recently unveiled a National Security Policy for 2022-2026, outlining its national security objectives and priorities.

India’s Imperative for a National Security Strategy

  • Long-Debated Need: The idea of a National Security Strategy for India has long been debated within military circles and the strategic community.
  • Urgency in Uncertain Times: Rising geopolitical tensions and the uncertain global environment have heightened the urgency for India to formulate a comprehensive strategy.
  • Relevance Highlighted: Experts and former officials emphasize that a national security strategy is vital to provide clear political direction to the Armed Forces, guide military reforms, and address modern security challenges effectively.

Past Attempts and Hurdles

  • Failed Attempts: India has previously made three attempts to develop a national security strategy, all without fruition.
  • Political Hesitation: Some speculate that hesitation at the political level, driven by concerns about accountability in defense management, may have impeded the strategy’s release.
  • Varied Views: There have been differing views within the strategic community regarding the absence of a national security strategy, ranging from a lack of cohesive government efforts to intentional non-disclosure of national security objectives.

Conclusion

  • India’s journey towards formulating its National Security Strategy marks a significant milestone in its quest for a well-defined and coordinated approach to security.
  • As India forges ahead, this inaugural strategy promises to provide a roadmap for addressing complex security challenges, ensuring national interests are protected, and fostering a secure future in an ever-evolving world.

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Road and Highway Safety – National Road Safety Policy, Good Samaritans, etc.

Alarming Road Accidents and Fatalities in India in 2022

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: NA

Mains level: Road Accidents in India

road accident

Central Idea

  • A recent government report titled ‘Road Accidents in India – 2022’ has revealed a concerning surge in road accidents, fatalities, and injuries.
  • The report sheds light on the grim statistics of road safety in the country.

Road Accidents in India 

  • The report is based on information provided by police departments of States and Union Territories collected on a calendar year basis.
  • Standardized formats from the UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP) were used for data collection under the Asia Pacific Road Accident Data (APRAD) base project.

Statistical Overview:

  • In 2022, India witnessed a total of 4,61,312 road accidents. It resulted in a tragic loss of 1,68,491 lives.
  • Additionally, 4,43,366 individuals sustained injuries.

State-Specific Data

  • Tamil Nadu recorded the highest number of road accidents on National Highways in 2022 (64,105 accidents or 13.9%).
  • Madhya Pradesh followed closely with 54,432 accidents (11.8%).
  • Uttar Pradesh reported the highest number of fatalities (22,595 or 13.4%) due to road accidents.
  • TN came second with 17,884 fatalities (10.6%).

Why discuss this?

(1) Year-on-Year Increase:

  • The report disclosed an alarming year-on-year increase of 11.9% in road accidents.
  • Fatalities also rose by 9.4% in the same period.
  • The number of injuries surged by a staggering 15.3% compared to the previous year.

(2) Accident Distribution:

  • The accidents were distributed across different types of roads as follows:
  1. National Highways, including Expressways: 32.9% (Fatalities: 36.2%)
  2. State Highways: 23.1% (Fatalities: 24.3%)
  3. Other roads: 43.9% (Fatalities: 39.4%)

(3) Demographic Impact:

  • Young adults: Mostly between 18 and 45 years old comprised a significant portion, accounting for 66.5% of road accident victims in 2022.
  • Working People: Within the working age group of 18 to 60 years represented 83.4% of total road accident fatalities.

(4) Rural vs. Urban Accidents:

  • Approximately 68% of road accident fatalities occurred in rural areas.
  • Urban areas accounted for 32% of total accident deaths in the country.

(5) Vehicle Categories

  • Two-wheelers remained the most prominent vehicle category involved in road accidents and fatalities for the second consecutive year.
  • Light vehicles, including cars, jeeps, and taxis, ranked a distant second.

What global reports have to say?

  • A recent analytical series published by The Lancet highlights the potential to reduce road accident-related deaths in India and other countries by 25 to 40%.
  • This reduction is achievable through preventive interventions that target four key risk factors.

Major issues identified

In developing countries like India, several structural problems persist:

  • High Speed: Excessive speed contributes to accidents.
  • Driving Under the Influence: Alcohol-impaired driving poses a substantial risk.
  • Unplanned Motorization: Rapid motorization and urbanization create challenges.
  • Highway Development: Speedy highway construction often lacks accommodation for diverse traffic speeds.
  • Vehicle Conditions: Ramshackle vehicles, wrong-side driving, and inadequate traffic policing are widespread issues.

India-specific Problems

  • Weak Law Enforcement: Inconsistent enforcement of traffic laws, often resolved through bribery.
  • Speeding: Higher vehicle speeds and increased traffic volume on highways.
  • Engineering Challenges: Gaps in highway medians, untreated intersections, and missing crash barriers.
  • Behavioural Issues: Violations such as wrong-side driving, lane misuse, and traffic light disobedience.
  • Lack of Immediate Trauma Care: Insufficient trauma care on highways leading to higher fatalities.

Steps Taken by India

India has undertaken various measures to address road safety concerns:

  • Sundar Committee (2007): India lacks competent investigation units to determine accident causes.
  • Amendment to Motor Vehicles Act (2019): Legislative changes, though not uniformly implemented across states.
  • National Road Safety Board: Establishment with advisory powers for safety reforms.
  • World Bank Support: Approval of a $250 million loan for the India State Support Programme for Road Safety.

Challenges in Implementation

Despite efforts, the focus remains conventional, with limited emphasis on structural changes:

  • User Behavior Focus: States prioritize user behavior and education over structural improvements.
  • Low Emphasis on Engineering Standards: Inadequate attention to raising engineering standards for roads, signage, signals, and accident investigation training.
  • Responsibility Fixation: Neglect in assigning responsibility to government departments for road infrastructure design, creation, and maintenance.

Way forward

  • Promoting awareness and responsible behaviour.
  • Better road design, maintenance, and signage.
  • Strictly enforcing traffic rules and penalties.
  • Ensuring vehicle safety and roadworthiness.
  • Enhancing first aid and paramedic care in Golden Hour.

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Food Safety Standards – FSSAI, food fortification, etc.

Decline in Food Safety Standards across India: A Closer Look

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: State Food Safety Index (SFSI)

Mains level: Read the attached story

food safety

Central Idea

  • Four years after the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI) introduced a state-wise index to encourage improvements in food safety, alarming trends have emerged.
  • A significant number of large Indian states have witnessed a drop in their food safety scores in 2023 compared to 2019.
  • This analysis delves into the details of these findings, highlighting the key parameters, their weights, and how the states fared.

Understanding the State Food Safety Index (SFSI)

  • FSSAI has developed the State Food Safety Index to measure the performance of states on various parameters of Food Safety.
  • It was first rolled in 2018-19.
  • This index is based on the performance of the State/ UT on five significant parameters set by the Health Ministry, namely
  1. Human Resources and Institutional Data
  2. Compliance
  3. Food Testing – Infrastructure and Surveillance
  4. Training & Capacity Building and
  5. Consumer Empowerment
  • In 2023, a new parameter, ‘Improvement in SFSI Rank,’ was added, altering the weightages of existing parameters to maintain a total score of 100.
  • The Index is a dynamic quantitative and qualitative benchmarking model that provides an objective framework for evaluating food safety across all States/UTs.

Highlights of the 2023 Report

[A] Steepest Decline in Scores:

  • Maharashtra: Witnessed the most significant drop, with a score of 45 in 2023 compared to 74 in 2019.
  • Bihar: Scored 20.5 in 2023, down from 46 in 2019.
  • Gujarat: Recorded a score of 48.5 in 2023, a sharp decline from 73 in 2019.

[B] Key Parameter Findings:

  • Food Testing Infrastructure: Witnessed the most substantial decline, with the average score dropping to 7 out of 17 in 2023 from 13 out of 20 in 2019.
  • Compliance: Received the highest weightage in 2023 but experienced a drop in scores for states like Jharkhand, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Bihar.
  • Consumer Empowerment: Scored the highest in Tamil Nadu, while Bihar saw a significant decrease in this parameter.
  • Human Resources and Institutional Data: Experienced a decline in scores for states like Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh.
  • Training and Capacity Building: Recorded an improvement, with the average score increasing to 5 out of 8 in 2023 from 3.5 out of 10 in 2019.

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Women empowerment issues – Jobs,Reservation and education

How big is the Gender Gap in earnings?

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Periodic Labour Force Surveys (PLFS)

Mains level: Read the attached story

gender gap

Central Idea

  • The Periodic Labour Force Surveys (PLFS) have diligently monitored the gender earnings gap in India from April-June 2019 to 2023.
  • This latest iteration places a vital spotlight on weekly hours worked, unveiling that the inequity in total earnings may not fully encapsulate the true narrative.

Examining the Gender Earnings Disparities

  • Claudia Goldin’s Pioneering Work: Building upon Nobel laureate Claudia Goldin’s research, India’s gender disparities in employment and wages come into focus.
  • Earnings Converted to Weekly Figures: Earnings for various worker categories are transformed into weekly earnings.
  • Ratio of Weekly Earnings: Table 1 displays the ratio of weekly earnings between men and women at the national level, encompassing rural and urban sectors. A figure above 1 denotes men earning more than women.
  • Persistent Gender Gap: Men out-earn women across all forms of work, with the self-employed experiencing the most significant gender gap in 2023, where men earned 2.8 times more than women. In contrast, male regular wage workers earned 24% more, and male casual workers earned 48% more than their female counterparts. The gender earnings gap remains a persistent challenge.
  • Changing Trends: Notably, the gender gap has increased for self-employed workers but decreased for regular wage workers, dropping to 24% in 2023 from 34% in 2019.

Analyzing Average Weekly Work Hours

  • Incomplete Picture: Disparities in earnings per unit of work are not entirely elucidated by the earnings gap alone. Women consistently work fewer hours than men across all forms of employment, as depicted in Table 2.
  • Largest Gap for the Self-Employed: In 2023, men in self-employment worked 50% more hours than women, while the gap was the smallest for regular wage workers (19%).
  • Rising Gender Gap in Hours Worked: The gender gap in hours worked has expanded, particularly for self-employed women, indicating an increase in part-time employment among them. Simultaneously, male self-employed workers continue full-time work.

Diving Deeper into Hourly Earnings Gap

  • Hourly Earnings Analysis: Calculations of hourly earnings for each worker category reveal the ratio between men and women’s hourly earnings, as presented in Table 3.
  • Significant Reduction in Regular Wage Workers’ Gap: In 2023, men in regular wage employment earned 24% more than women over the week but worked 19% longer hours. The hourly earnings gap narrows to approximately 4%, down from 11% in 2019.
  • Hourly Earnings Parity in Regular Wage Work: On average, women in regular employment earn less per week but nearly match men when hourly earnings are considered. However, these averages mask nuanced disparities across occupations and industries.
  • Higher Inequality in Other Employment Types: Inequality in hourly earnings is more pronounced in other work categories, albeit lower than when assessing total earnings. In 2023, male casual workers earned 23% more per hour than women, a reduction from 33% in 2019. Conversely, the self-employed category witnessed an increase in the hourly earnings gap from 84% in 2019 to 87% in 2023.

Factors Influencing Work Hours

  • Beyond Pure Choice: Lower hourly earnings inequality for regular wage workers doesn’t imply women opt for shorter work hours by choice.
  • Societal barriers: Barriers, such as societal expectations that women manage domestic and childcare duties, may limit their employment options.

Conclusion

  • Addressing both remuneration disparities and disparities in total work hours is crucial.
  • Policymakers should target the removal of barriers that curtail women’s working hours.
  • This involves workplace interventions like mandating childcare facilities and extended maternity leaves and broader societal transformations that challenge traditional gender norms and share childcare and domestic responsibilities more equitably.

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Food Procurement and Distribution – PDS & NFSA, Shanta Kumar Committee, FCI restructuring, Buffer stock, etc.

India’s record Food Production

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Food Production stats

Mains level: Read the attached story

Food Production

Central Idea

  • Recent data from the agriculture ministry has revealed that India achieved record-high food production in the 2022-23 fiscal year.
  • However, this surge in production appears to be at odds with the government’s decision to restrict the export of key staples like wheat and rice, as well as the persistent trend of rising food inflation.

Food Production Statistics

  • Record-High Food Production: The agriculture ministry estimates food production for 2022-23 at a historic 329.7 million tonnes, marking a 4.5% increase from the previous year.
  • Cereal Production: Major cereal production, including rice and wheat, rose by 4.9% and 2.6%, respectively. Coarse grain production surged by 12%, while pulses production experienced a 4.4% year-on-year decline but remained 6% higher than the five-year average.
  • Challenges Faced: These estimations were made despite adverse conditions such as subpar monsoons affecting rice output and late rains causing damage during crop harvesting.

Inconsistencies in the Data

  • Export Curbs: In September 2022, India imposed export curbs on broken rice and imposed a 20% duty on certain varieties due to expected domestic production challenges. These curbs have since intensified.
  • Wheat Export Ban: Last year, a miscalculation of wheat harvest, primarily due to a heatwave, led to export bans in May 2022, despite promises to bridge global supply gaps after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
  • Rising Food Prices: Despite record production and export restrictions, retail prices for cereals have continued to surge. Wheat and rice prices have been in double digits, with consumer cereal prices up by 11% year-on-year, and pulses registering a 16.4% increase. As of October 21, retail prices for rice and wheat flour were 12.7% and 5% higher year-on-year, respectively.

Prospects for 2023-24

  • Kharif Production Estimate: The first advance estimate for kharif production, typically released in September, is yet to be published. This year’s monsoon, with the lowest rainfall in five years and uneven distribution, is expected to impact rice production, the main kharif crop.
  • Pulses and Oilseeds: Additionally, reduced rainfall in several states may affect pulses and oilseeds production. Retail prices for specific pulse varieties like tur (pigeon peas) have already surged by 38% compared to the previous year.

Challenges in Robust Crop Estimations

  • Reliability of Data: National crop yield estimates rely on crop-cutting experiments conducted by state revenue and agriculture departments, raising concerns about the accuracy of data collection, particularly in understaffed state departments.
  • Remote Sensing: India is using remote sensing to cross-verify the data, yet reliability remains a challenge, especially for crops with multiple harvests.
  • Horticulture Crops: Estimating yield for horticulture crops, which are harvested in stages, is even more complex than for food grains.

Conclusion

  • India’s agricultural landscape presents a perplexing scenario with record-high food production, export restrictions, and stubborn food inflation.
  • The government’s efforts to stabilize prices through export curbs have not yielded the expected results.
  • As India navigates the complexities of its agricultural sector, it must address the discrepancies in data collection and explore innovative approaches to ensure accurate estimates and sustainable food security.

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Minority Issues – SC, ST, Dalits, OBC, Reservations, etc.

Caste Enumeration and OBC Sub-Categorization in India

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: OBCs, Various commissions mentioned

Mains level: Read the attached story

obc caste

Central Idea

  • The recent publication of Bihar’s caste survey results has sparked discussions about the possibility of similar exercises in other states as India enters a new electoral cycle.
  • Enumerating castes and sub-categorizing Other Backward Classes (OBCs) for equitable reservation distribution have long been contentious issues.

Who are Other Backward Classes (OBCs)?

  • Origins of OBCs: OBCs represent communities and castes considered socially and educationally backward, distinct from Scheduled Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes (STs).
  • Constitutional Mandate: The Indian Constitution mandates affirmative action for OBCs through Articles 15(4) and 16(4), enabling special provisions and reservations.

Diverse Categories within OBCs

  • Occupational Classification: OBCs have historically been identified based on their occupations, including land ownership, farming, labor, and artisanal work.
  • Two Broad Categories: OBCs can be broadly categorized into landowners (e.g., Yadavs and Kurmis in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh) and non-landowners.
  • Inequality Concerns: A demand for reservation within OBCs has emerged, as a few “upper” OBCs have reportedly benefitted disproportionately from the existing 27% reservation, a result of the Mandal Commission’s recommendations over 30 years ago.

EBCs in Bihar

  • EBC Identification: Bihar’s caste survey identified 27% of the population as “pichhda” (backward) and 36% as “atyant pichhda” (Extremely Backward Classes, or EBCs).
  • Historical Context: The state had previously categorized castes as “more backward,” and the Karpoori Thakur Formula, implemented in the 1970s, offered reservation benefits to various groups, including OBCs, economically backward OBCs, women, and the economically disadvantaged from “upper castes.”

Historical OBC Commissions

  • Kaka Kalekar Commission (1953): Established in 1953, it recommended identifying socially and educationally backward classes and 25-40% reservation in government jobs.
  • Mandal Commission (1979): Appointed in 1979 but implemented in 1990, it identified 3,743 OBC castes, suggested 27% reservation in government jobs and educational institutions, and proposed no sub-categorization.

State-specific Subcategorization

  • Diverse State Approaches: Various states have implemented subcategorization within their OBC quotas based on unique criteria.
  • Examples: Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala have subgroups within their OBC reservations.

Subcategorization at the National Level

  • Subcategorization Initiative: In 2015, the Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment tasked the National Commission for Backward Classes (NCBC) with examining the subcategorization of OBCs.
  • NCBC’s Recommendation: The NCBC proposed subcategorization into Extremely Backward Classes, More Backward Classes, and Backward Classes.

Recent Developments: Rohini Commission

  • In October 2017, the Rohini Commission was formed to explore OBC subcategorization.
  • It submitted its report in July 2023, although its contents remain undisclosed.

Conclusion

  • The issue of caste enumeration and subcategorization of OBCs in India reflects complex social and political dynamics.
  • While it aims to ensure equitable distribution of reservation benefits, it also highlights the need for nuanced, state-specific approaches to address the diverse composition of OBC communities.
  • The recent report by the Rohini Commission holds potential significance, but its implications and recommendations await public scrutiny and debate.

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Hunger and Nutrition Issues – GHI, GNI, etc.

India ranks 111/125 in Global Hunger Index, 2023

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Global Hunger Index

Mains level: Read the attached story

Central Idea

  • India has been ranked 111th out of 125 countries in the Global Hunger Index-2023, a stark decline from its 107th position in 2022.
  • The index highlights a concerning statistic – India reports the world’s highest child wasting rate at a staggering 18.7 percent.
  • Interestingly, India’s neighboring countries, including Pakistan (102nd), Bangladesh (81st), Nepal (69th), and Sri Lanka (60th), have performed comparatively better in the index.

Global Hunger Index (GHI)

Publication Jointly published annually by Concern Worldwide and Welthungerhilfe.
Scale Measures hunger on a 100-point scale, with 0 as the best (no hunger) and 100 as the worst score.
Purpose Comprehensively measures and tracks hunger globally, regionally, and at the country level. Aims to trigger action to reduce hunger worldwide.
Indicators 4 key indicators for each country:

1. Undernourishment (reflects inadequate food availability): Share of the population that is undernourished.

2. Child Wasting (reflects acute undernutrition): Share of children under five with low weight for their height.

3. Child Stunting (reflects chronic undernutrition): Share of children under five with low height for their age.

4. Child Mortality (reflects inadequate nutrition and unhealthy environment): Mortality rate of children under five.

 

Hunger in India: Fact Check

  • Serious Hunger Levels: India’s score of 28.7 in the Global Hunger Index-2023 places it in the “serious” category, according to the report.
  • Child Wasting: India’s child wasting rate, the proportion of undernourished children measured by weight relative to their height, stands at an alarming 18.7 percent, signaling acute undernutrition.
  • Undernourishment Rate: The rate of undernourishment in India is reported at 16.6 percent, further highlighting the gravity of the issue.
  • Child Mortality: Under-five mortality in India is recorded at 3.1 percent.
  • Anemia Among Women: The report underscores a significant concern, with 58.1 percent of women aged 15 to 24 in India being affected by anemia.

A report to bully India

  • Disputed Ranking: The Indian government has rejected the GHI 2023 ranking, citing serious methodological concerns and suggesting a malicious intent behind the report (considering elections).
  • Methodological Issues: The WCD Ministry asserts that the GHI 2023 report suffers from significant methodological issues. It contends that 3 out of 4 indicators used for calculation pertain to child health, which does not represent the entire population.
  • Sample size issue: It is questionable that only small sample size of 3,000 is used for the “Proportion of Undernourished Population” indicator for crores population in India.
  • Child Wasting Discrepancy: The ministry highlights a significant disparity between the child wasting rate as per the Poshan Tracker (consistently below 7.2 percent) and the 18.7 percent reported in GHI 2023.
  • Undue link with Child mortality: It also challenges the notion that child mortality is solely an outcome of hunger.

Conclusion

  • India’s ranking underscores the persistent challenges in addressing hunger and undernutrition.
  • The report serves as a stark reminder of the critical need to comprehensively tackle these issues, especially child wasting and undernourishment, to ensure the well-being of the nation’s population.

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Labour, Jobs and Employment – Harmonization of labour laws, gender gap, unemployment, etc.

India’s Unemployment Rate Declines: PLFS 2022-2023

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS)

Mains level: Not Much

Central Idea

  • The latest findings from the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS), conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO), reveal a decrease in India’s unemployment rate for the period between April and June 2023.
  • This encouraging trend is accompanied by improvements in the Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) and the Worker-Population Ratio (WPR), signifying positive shifts in the country’s labor market.

About Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS)

Objective Collect comprehensive labor market data in India.
Conducted by Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), Government of India.
Replacement for Replaced earlier employment-unemployment surveys by NSSO.
Frequency Conducted periodically, with rounds typically spanning a year.
First Round Conducted in July 2017-2018, marking the survey’s initiation.
Data Categories Employment status, unemployment rate, sector-wise employment, income, demographics, and more.
Sampling Methodology Sample survey approach with data collected from households and individuals through a scientific sampling process.
Policy Impact Informs government policies related to employment, labor market interventions, and economic planning.

 

2022-23 Survey Overview

  • Scope: The national survey compiled data from 5,639 first-stage sampling units (FSUs) and encompassed 1,67,916 individuals residing in 44,190 urban households.
  • Age Group: The survey focused on individuals aged 15 years and above.

Improvements in Urban Labour Force Participation

  • LFPR Uptick: The LFPR in urban areas exhibited growth, rising from 47.5% in April-June 2022 to 48.8% in the corresponding months of 2023 for individuals aged 15 years and above.
  • Gender Disparities: While the LFPR remained stable at approximately 73.5% for males during this period, it notably increased for females, climbing from 20.9% to 23.2%.

Enhanced Worker-Population Ratio

  • WPR Gains: In urban areas, the WPR increased from 43.9% in April-June 2022 to 45.5% during the same period in 2023 for individuals aged 15 years and above.
  • Gender-Specific Improvements: For males, the WPR progressed from 68.3% to 69.2%, and for females, it surged from 18.9% to 21.1% over this timeframe.

Decrease in Unemployment Rate

  • Declining Unemployment: The PLFS reported a diminishing trend in the Unemployment Rate (UR) for individuals aged 15 years and above in urban areas.
  • UR in Urban Areas: It decreased from 7.6% in April-June 2022 to 6.6% in April-June 2023.
  • Gender-Based UR: For males, the UR dropped from 7.1% to 5.9%, while for females, it decreased from 9.5% to 9.1% during this period.

Comparative Analysis

  • Positive Trends: The report highlights improvements in key labor market indicators in urban areas when compared to the pre-pandemic period (April-June 2018 to October-December 2019).
  • LFPR Improvement: The LFPR ranged from 46.2% to 47.8% during the pre-pandemic period and has now reached 48.8%.
  • WPR Enhancement: Pre-pandemic WPR figures ranged from 41.8% to 44.1%, while the current WPR stands at 45.5%.
  • Lower UR: Unemployment rates during the pre-pandemic period fluctuated between 7.8% and 9.7%, with the latest survey reporting a lower UR of 6.6%. This rate is deemed favorable compared to the unemployment rates observed in the quarters preceding the pandemic.

Conclusion

  • The Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) results reflect positive developments in India’s labor market, marked by a decreasing unemployment rate, improved labor force participation, and enhanced worker-population ratios.
  • These trends indicate a resilient labor market recovery and may signify the nation’s progress towards economic stability and job creation.

Back2Basics:

  • Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR): LFPR is defined as the percentage of persons in labour force (i.e. working or seeking or available for work)in the population.
  • Worker Population Ratio (WPR): WPR is defined as the percentage of employed persons in the population.
  • Unemployment Rate (UR): UR is defined as the percentage of persons unemployed among the persons in the labour force.
  • Activity Status- Usual Status: The activity status of a person is determined on the basis of the activities pursued by the person during the specified reference period. When the activity status is determined on the basis of the reference period of last 365 days preceding the date of survey, it is known as the usual activity status of the person.
  • Activity Status- Current Weekly Status (CWS): The activity status determined on the basis of a reference period of last 7 days preceding the date of survey is known as the current weekly status (CWS) of the person.

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Industrial Sector Updates – Industrial Policy, Ease of Doing Business, etc.

Manufacturing PMI eased to 5-month low

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)

Mains level: Not Much

Central Idea

  • India’s manufacturing sector experienced a slowdown in September, reaching a five-month low, according to the seasonally adjusted S&P Global India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).
  • The PMI eased to 57.5 from August’s 58.6. A reading of 50 reflects no change in activity levels.

Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)

  • PMI is an indicator of business activity — both in the manufacturing and services sectors.
  • It is a survey-based measure that asks the respondents about changes in their perception of some key business variables from the month before.
  • It is calculated separately for the manufacturing and services sectors and then a composite index is constructed.
  • The PMI is compiled by IHS Markit based on responses to questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers.

How is the PMI derived?

  • The PMI is derived from a series of qualitative questions.
  • Executives from a reasonably big sample, running into hundreds of firms, are asked whether key indicators such as output, new orders, business expectations and employment were stronger than the month before and are asked to rate them.

How does one read the PMI?

  • A figure above 50 denotes expansion in business activity. Anything below 50 denotes contraction.
  • Higher the difference from this mid-point greater the expansion or contraction. The rate of expansion can also be judged by comparing the PMI with that of the previous month data.
  • If the figure is higher than the previous month’s then the economy is expanding at a faster rate.
  • If it is lower than the previous month then it is growing at a lower rate.

Analysis and Outlook

  • Mild Slowdown: The manufacturing industry in India showed mild signs of a slowdown in September, primarily due to a softer increase in new orders, which tempered production growth.
  • Positive Outlook: Despite the slowdown, both demand and output saw significant improvements, and manufacturers maintained a strongly positive outlook for production.
  • Job Creation and Input Stocks: Upbeat forecasts continued to drive job creation efforts and initiatives to replenish input stocks, indicating a favourable trajectory for the Indian manufacturing industry.
  • Concerns: However, the solid increase in output charges, despite easing cost pressures, could limit sales in the coming months, prompting caution.

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Minority Issues – SC, ST, Dalits, OBC, Reservations, etc.

Bihar Caste Survey: Key Highlights

Note4Students

From UPSC perspective, the following things are important :

Prelims level: Bihar Caste Census

Mains level: Issues with Caste Censuses

bihar

Central Idea

  • The Bihar government recently released the results of its caste survey, shedding light on the state’s demographic composition and caste dynamics.
  • This survey, the first of its kind since 1931, carries significant implications for politics, reservations, and electoral strategies in Bihar.

Bihar Caste Survey

  • Caste Demographics: The survey reveals the following caste composition in Bihar:
    1. Extremely Backward Classes (EBCs) – 36.01%.
    2. Other Backward Classes (OBCs) – 27.12%.
    3. Scheduled Castes (SCs) – 19.65%.
    4. Scheduled Tribes (STs) – 1.68% (most STs are part of Jharkhand since 2000).
    5. “Unreserved” (Forward Castes) – 15.52%.
  • Population Increase: Bihar’s population, according to the survey, is 13,07,25,310, compared to 10.41 crores recorded in the 2011 census. Hindus make up 81.99%, while Muslims constitute 17.72%. Other religious denominations have minuscule populations.

Survey Process

  • Political Consensus: The decision to conduct the caste survey was made following an all-party meeting in June 2022, with a budget allocation of Rs 500 crore from the contingency fund.
  • Survey Phases: The survey occurred in two phases:
    1. The first phase involved counting households in January.
    2. The second phase, starting in April, aimed to collect caste, religion, economic, and family data.
  • Legal Challenge: The Patna High Court initially halted the survey, but it later resumed after the state clarified it was a “survey” and ensured data privacy.

Significance

  • Changing Political Landscape: The politics of identity tied to reservations and backward caste assertion has evolved. The BJP’s appeal to OBCs has transformed the political landscape.
  • Opportunities for Backward Classes: Survey results may provide an opening for parties like JD(U) and RJD to mobilize backward classes. The Opposition alliance could use this data to push for a nationwide caste census.
  • Increased Quotas: The survey could fuel demands for expanding OBC quotas beyond 27% and creating sub-quotas for EBCs. The recommendations of the Justice Rohini Commission are expected to influence this debate.
  • Reservation Ceiling Debate: The data may reignite discussions on the 50% reservation ceiling imposed by the Supreme Court in 1992, a contentious issue in various states.

Electoral Impact

  • Vote Bank Dynamics: EBCs, OBCs, and SCs, constituting over 82% of Bihar’s population, will be a crucial vote bank in upcoming elections.
  • Leadership Dynamics: Leaders like Lalu Prasad and Nitish Kumar have historically represented OBCs, EBCs, and Dalits. The BJP’s electoral strategy in Bihar will likely emphasize the Prime Minister’s OBC background.
  • Electoral Battles: Political parties will fiercely compete for the support of these influential caste groups, making Bihar a battleground state with complex caste dynamics.

Why discuss this?

  • Caste Data in Census: Since India’s independence in 1947, every census until 2011 has published data on Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes. Caste data was available in censuses before 1931.
  • 1941 Exception: In 1941, caste-based data was collected but not published due to World War II, as per M.W.M. Yeats, the Census Commissioner at that time.

Demand for a Caste Census

  • Recurring Demand: The demand for a caste census surfaces before almost every census, primarily driven by groups belonging to Other Backward Classes (OBC) and other deprived sections, while it faces opposition from upper-caste sections.
  • Contemporary Demand: In recent times, opposition parties, especially during Census 2021 delays, have vociferously called for a caste census, focusing on “social justice” as a common rallying point.
  • Political Support: Many politicians have advocated for the release of data from the Socio-Economic and Caste Census (SECC) 2011. They also called for a caste census and the removal of the 50% cap on SC/ST/OBC reservations.

Centre’s Stand

  • Government Policy: The Indian government has consistently decided not to enumerate caste-wise populations, except for SCs and STs, as a matter of policy.
  • Policy Shift: However, in August 2018, following a meeting chaired by then-Home Minister, it was stated that data on OBCs would be collected during Census 2021.
  • RTI Response: When questioned about the meeting’s minutes, the Office of Registrar General of India (ORGI) claimed they did not maintain records of deliberations on this matter before the Ministry of Home Affairs’ announcement.

Conclusion

  • A caste-based census is against the idea of a casteless society envisaged by leaders like Babasaheb Ambedkar in the Constitution and will weaken ongoing efforts to create social harmony.
  • While proponents argue for better representation and targeted policies, opponents emphasize the importance of moving towards a casteless society.

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